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Megatsunamis @ the London `Catastrophes` conference

August 17, 2002

The modern world appears secure in its knowledge of hazards. However tsunamis today are smaller and less frequent than they were in prehistory.

Professor Ted Bryant argues geological evidence along the Australian coast is testament to past catastrophic tsunamis. The size of these tsunamis is beyond the capability of earthquakes, while their regional extent rules out submarine landslides. Only meteorite or comet impacts with the ocean, he believes, could generate tsunamis big enough to produce these features.




Radiocarbon dating along the southeast coast of Australia indicates that these giant tsunamis have occurred at a periodicity of around 400-500 years throughout the Late Holocene. One recent tsunami around AD 1500 stands out - an event that affected over 400 km of the Australian coastline and is also recorded on the east coast of New Zealand and on Lord Howe Island in the middle of the Tasman Sea. Aboriginal and Maori legends allude to a cosmogenic source for this event (or one like it). The Maori legends can be dated around AD 1500 based upon the evidence for occupational burning on the South Island. In addition, cultural changes among Aborigines in Australia after this time lend support to the idea that there was a substantial tsunami. Presently, the point of impact of the bolide responsible for the disaster has not been determined, but it probably lies southeast of New Zealand. If the observed periodicity of cosmogenic tsunamis in the southwest Pacific region is valid, then today's coastlines exist tenuously within a narrowing temporal window.

Although the Pacific coastlines regularly experiences destructive tsunamis, the shores of the North Atlantic are a far less likely location for past megatsunamis. However, around 7000 years ago, one of the world`s largest submarine slides triggered a giant tsunami that travelled across the North Atlantic and Norwegian Seas. It is not known if the slide was generated by a large offshore earthquake or by gas release from within the slide sediments; but deposits from the resulting tsunami have been found in western Norway, Scotland, Faeroe Isles and as far south as eastern England.

Professor Alastair Dawson reports on new computer modelling of the slide and tsunami estimates that show the giant wave had an average velocity of c. 35m/s and that the bulk of the sediment mass moved in as little as two days. Modelling of the tsunami runup at the coast suggests that in western Norway, the generation of the tsunami was associated with an initial drawdown (lowering) of sea level at the coast in the order of -8m quickly followed by a sea surface rise in the order of +16m.

Geological studies of coastal deposits in Scotland and Norway attributable to the tsunami indicate that runup varied with the shape of the local coastline, but that in parts of the Shetland Isles, it may have been as much as between +25/+30m above sea level.

Geological Society of London, The



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