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Printer Friendly Print A health check for the Earth @ the London `Catastrophes` conference

A health check for the Earth @ the London `Catastrophes` conference

August 17, 2002

The condition of our environment at any time reflects not only human influences but also natural processes and phenomena, which may be causing change - whether or not people are present. So how do we know when humans are to blame and when it`s just the environment behaving `naturally`. At Brunel University`s `Environmental Catastrophes` conference, keynote plenary talks by two prominent international scientists will address this thorny issue.

Antony Berger will present a checklist of geological indicators of rapid environmental change. Listed are 27 earth system processes and phenomena that are liable to change in less than a century in magnitude, direction, or rate to an extent that may be significant for environmental sustainability and ecological health.

For Paul Epstein, reading the biological signs and symptoms of environmental change can provide important guides for managing and nurturing ecosystem integrity and the global climate system. He argues that our changing global climate is already having its effect on public health. Since the mid-1970s 30 infectious diseases new to medicine have emerged, old diseases have experienced resurgence while others have undergone redistribution. Climate restricts the range of infectious diseases, while weather affects the timing and intensity of outbreaks.

According to Epstein, we are witnessing the ranges of several key diseases changing in montane regions alongside upward shifts in plant communities and the retreat of alpine glaciers. In addition, extreme weather events are creating conditions conducive to "clusters" of outbreaks. Sequential extremes - e.g. droughts punctuated by heavy rains - can destabilize predator/prey interactions, leading to population explosions of opportunistic, disease-carrying organisms. Explosions of nuisance and weedy species - rodents, mosquitoes and plankton - and diseases emerging across a wide taxonomic range of species are all symptoms of multiple ecological disturbances and mounting environmental instability.

Geological Society of London, The




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