U.S. trial shows no early mortality benefit from annual prostate cancer screening

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"The important message is that for men with a life expectancy of seven to 10 years or less, it is probably not necessary to be screened for prostate cancer," says the study's lead author and principal investigator Gerald Andriole, M.D., chief urologic surgeon at the Siteman Cancer Center at Washington University School of Medicine and Barnes-Jewish Hospital.

But it's too soon, he added, to make broad screening recommendations for all men based on the study's initial findings.

"So far, only a minority of men enrolled in the PLCO study have died, so it may be premature to make generalizations about the ultimate results of the trial," he says. "We don't have enough data yet about the youngest men in the study - those in their 50s - and it may be that over time, we will, in fact, see a benefit from screening."

Nearly 6,400 men are enrolled in the study at Washington University. Robert Grubb III, M.D., assistant professor of surgery, is a collaborator and the study's second author.

The PLCO trial began in 1992 with funding from the National Cancer Institute and was designed to determine whether prostate cancer screening reduces deaths from the disease. It involves men ages 55 to 74 who received either annual PSA blood tests and digital rectal exams or "routine care," meaning they had the screening tests only if their physicians recommended them. After seven to 10 years of follow up, deaths from prostate cancer were very low in both groups and did not differ significantly between the groups.

Health guidelines issued last year by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommend against prostate cancer screening for men age 75 or older and concluded there is insufficient evidence to assess the balance of benefits and harms of prostate cancer screening in men younger than 75. However, the American Urological Association and the American Cancer Society recommend annual prostate cancer screening tests beginning at age 50 for most men.

More than 186,000 U.S. men will be diagnosed with prostate cancer this year, and nearly 29,000 will die from the disease, according to the National Cancer Institute. PSA blood tests, introduced in 1988, have increasingly been used as a screening tool for prostate cancer, despite a lack of evidence showing they reduce death rates from disease.

The controversy over prostate cancer screening has arisen because most men who undergo a biopsy for an abnormal PSA test do not have prostate cancer. For those who have cancer, the tumors generally grow so slowly that most men die of other causes. Furthermore, prostate cancer treatment can result in incontinence and impotence. However, some tumors can be aggressive, and the difficulty has been distinguishing aggressive cancers from those that are slow growing.

"We definitely need to find better ways to detect and treat aggressive tumors, those that are truly life-threatening, so that men with slow-growing tumors can avoid unnecessary treatments," says Andriole.

Today's results are the first to detail death rates from prostate cancer among men in the PLCO study and are being released to coincide with the presentation of the data at the European Association of Urology meeting in Stockholm, Sweden.

The PLCO data are being made public now because the study's Data and Safety Monitoring Board, an independent review committee that meets every six months, saw a continuing lack of evidence that screening reduces deaths due to prostate cancer as well as the suggestion that screening may cause men to be treated unnecessarily. The PLCO investigators will continue to follow patients for several more years to see whether annual screening eventually reduces prostate cancer deaths.

The trial involved 76,693 men, who were randomly assigned to receive either annual PSA blood tests for six years and digital rectal exams for four years or routine care, which included physical checkups but no mandate for annual prostate cancer screening.

The new report includes data for all participants seven years after they joined the trial and for 67 percent of participants 10 years after they joined the trial.

At seven years, there were 22 percent more prostate cancer diagnoses in the men screened annually (2,820 men in the screening group vs. 2,322 in the routine-care group). This trend has continued in data collected up to 10 years (currently there are 17 percent more prostate cancer diagnoses in the screening group).

Deaths from prostate cancer did not differ significantly between the groups. Seven years after the start of screening, there were 50 deaths from prostate cancer in the screening group and 44 deaths in the routine-care group. Ten years after the start of screening, there were 92 prostate cancer deaths in the screening group and 82 in the routine-care group.

"My recommendation is that, for now, men with a life expectancy of more than seven to 10 years continue to be screened for prostate cancer," says Andriole. "On the other hand, screening is probably not necessary for elderly men and men with significant health issues. These men should have a conversation with their doctors to make an individual decision about whether they want to be screened, because clearly there can be harmful side effects related to treatment, while for these men, there has been no demonstration that screening will prolong their lives."

Of the men who received annual screening, 85 percent had PSA tests and 86 percent had digital rectal exams. Men in the routine-care arm sometimes had prostate cancer screening tests: PSA screening ranged from 40 percent of men at the beginning of the study to 52 percent of men by the last screening year, and screening with rectal exams ranged from 41 percent initially to 46 percent by the last screening year. The exam involves a doctor inserting a lubricated, gloved finger into the rectum to feel for anything that is not normal.

Men were referred for follow up testing for prostate cancer if their PSA level was higher than 4.0 ng/ml or if the rectal exam was abnormal.

The researchers noted that the vast majority of men in both groups who developed prostate cancer were diagnosed with stage II disease (out of IV). The number of later-stage cases was similar in the two groups. However, men in the routine-care group had more aggressive tumors (Gleason score 8-10). The reduced number of men with prostate cancer with a Gleason score of 8-10 in the intervention group may eventually lead to a mortality difference, but data analyzed so far have not shown such a benefit.

Additionally, men in both groups received similar treatments for their disease, which was not dictated by being a participant in the PLCO.

Another study reported in this same online issue of the NEJM is the large European Randomized Trial of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC), which shows a 20 percent reduction in the rate of death from prostate cancer but with a high risk of overdiagnosis. In the ERSPC, unlike the PLCO trial, men were referred for follow-up testing if their PSA level was 3.0 ng/mL or higher and were also screened, on average, every four years as opposed to annually in the PLCO.

Lowering the threshold for what is considered an abnormal PSA to 3.0 ng/ml is likely to diagnose more tumors but not necessarily identify those that are more likely to be aggressive, Andriole says.

Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis