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Predicted ground motions for great earthquake in Pacific Northwest: Seattle, Victoria and Vancouver
June 11, 2009A new study evaluates expected ground motion in Seattle, Victoria and Vancouver from earthquakes of magnitude 7.5 - 9.0, providing engineers and policymakers with a new tool to build or retrofit structures to withstand seismic waves from large "subduction" earthquakes off the continent's west coast.
The Cascadia subduction zone in the Pacific Northwest has produced great earthquakes of magnitude 9.0 and larger, most recently in the 1700s. Now home to millions of people and a vast infrastructure of buildings and other man-made structures, scientists seek to determine the impact of large earthquakes on the region.
To simulate ground motions from a very large earthquake on the local region, this study combined detailed analysis of ground motions recorded from smaller earthquakes in the Pacific Northwest with recorded data from a severe subduction earthquake from another region - the M8.4 2003 Tokachi-Oki quake off the coast of Japan. The authors estimate ground motions for firm ground at the three sites and provide a model that engineers can adjust for local or site-specific soil conditions.
Co-author Gail Atkinson of the University of Western Ontario describes earthquakes in the Pacific Northwest as having rich energy content. "The expected ground motion may not be very large in amplitude - the peak accelerations are not that high - but the motion will go on for a very long time," Atkinson explained. "The real hazard is that an earthquake here will affect a very large, very wide region - amplifying seismic motion and exciting vulnerable structures wherever there is an opportunity to do so."
Seismological Society of America
Co-author Gail Atkinson of the University of Western Ontario describes earthquakes in the Pacific Northwest as having rich energy content. "The expected ground motion may not be very large in amplitude - the peak accelerations are not that high - but the motion will go on for a very long time," Atkinson explained. "The real hazard is that an earthquake here will affect a very large, very wide region - amplifying seismic motion and exciting vulnerable structures wherever there is an opportunity to do so."
Seismological Society of America
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Tsunami waves reasonably likely to strike Israel
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Seismic Noise Unearths Lost Hurricanes
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Tsunami evacuation buildings: another way to save lives in the Pacific Northwest
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Satellite data look behind the scenes of deadly earthquake
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Radio waves 'see' through walls
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Scientists measure the rate of ascent of volcanic magma
Plinian volcanic eruptions are notoriously destructive. These very powerful eruptions often occur after long periods of quiescence and are preceded by relatively short periods of seismic restiveness.
San Andreas affected by 2004 Sumatran quake
U.S. seismologists have found evidence that the massive 2004 earthquake that triggered killer tsunamis throughout the Indian Ocean weakened at least a portion of California's famed San Andreas Fault.
Unlocking the secrets of the seafloor: The future of scientific ocean drilling
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