Anthropogenic heat flux increases the frequency of extreme heat events

January 11, 2021

Anthropogenic, or human-made, heat flux in the near-surface atmosphere has changed urban thermal environments. Much of this fluctuation has been noted with rapid development of the global economy and urbanization since the turn of the 21st century. Meanwhile, the number of extreme temperature events in the first decade of the 21st century grew faster than in the last 10 years of the 20th century. During this period, urban extreme heat events have become more frequent, breaking temperature records more often.

"We found the relationships between anthropogenic heat flux and extreme temperature events..." said Prof. Zhenghui Xie, a scientist with the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences. "...including both extreme cold and heat events, based on seven extreme temperature indices by conducting the advanced model."

Many researchers have studied urban extreme temperature events, including the heat effect of the anthropogenic heat flux from different time scales, urban heat island effect, and the synergistic interactions between urban heat island and heat waves. However, the relationships between anthropogenic heat flux and extreme temperature events have been less studied.

"Anthropogenic heat increased the frequency and trend of the extreme heat events, while the extreme cold events were opposite," said Prof. Xie. Along with Dr. Bin Liu, Xie developed a case study of Beijing, China, analyzing anthropogenic heat data based on energy consumption. Using the Advanced Research (ARW) version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, they implemented a dynamic representation scheme of urban anthropogenic heat release. Their full research is published in Advances in Atmospheric Sciences.

By analyzing the dynamic process of atmosphere's boundary layer, the team also found differences in seasonal heating efficiency. This research might help to mitigate the impact of extreme temperature events in different seasons.

Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences

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