Better living through improved weather forecasting

January 24, 2019

On the eve of the American Meteorological Society's centennial anniversary, Richard Alley and colleagues highlight the advances in our weather and environmental forecasting ability and the many societal benefits they provide. According to Alley et al., these benefits greatly outweigh the costs, and continued investment in weather forecasting will ensure that these important improvements to human wellbeing continue, they say. The ability to predict the weather, a feat perhaps taken for granted by some, has dramatically improved in recent decades, fueled by technological advancements in sophisticated remote sensing technologies and by the development of powerful computational models capable of simulating an entire planet's atmosphere hundreds of times over in a relative instant. According to Alley et al., because of these improvements, a 5-day forecast today is as accurate as a 1-day forecast was in 1980, and useful weather predictions can now be reliably made up to 10 days into the future. Furthermore, the identification of hazardous and extreme weather events, like hurricanes, tornadoes, blizzards and flash floods, is now routinely made far enough in advance to allow ample time for emergency preparations or evacuations. However, in some parts of the developing world, a lack of access to forecasting tools has left many countries particularly vulnerable to weather disasters. These issues can be addressed through targeted investments or data sharing, which could save many thousands of lives each year. However, according to the authors, national efforts to force meteorological services to raise revenue by placing data behind paywalls greatly impair these goals.
-end-


American Association for the Advancement of Science

Related Weather Articles from Brightsurf:

5G wireless may lead to inaccurate weather forecasts
Upcoming 5G wireless networks that will provide faster cell phone service may lead to inaccurate weather forecasts, according to a Rutgers study on a controversial issue that has created anxiety among meteorologists.

How's the transit weather?
U researchers found a correlation between words used in media coverage related to weather or air quality, and transit ridership.

How weather affects crawfish harvests
To help inform farmers, researchers at Louisiana State University are the first to quantify how rainfall and temperature affect crawfish harvest yields.

How well do Germans understand weather risks?
Germans have difficulty gauging the negative impact of weather conditions such as ground frost, heat, or UV radiation.

Extreme weather could bring next recession
Despite obvious market risks brought by fires, floods and other events, asset managers are slow to react.

How countries respond to weather change
A two degree Centigrade increase in global average temperature will lead to catastrophic consequences for the planet.

Climate signals detected in global weather
Searched for and found: climate researchers can now detect the fingerprint of global warming in daily weather observations at the global scale.

Expanding the scale of dangerous weather prediction
A more accurate and efficient method of capturing the local factors that lead to extreme rainfall enables better flood prediction across larger regions.

Using artificial intelligence to better predict severe weather
When forecasting weather, meteorologists use a number of models and data sources to track shapes and movements of clouds that could indicate severe storms.

Better living through improved weather forecasting
On the eve of the American Meteorological Society's centennial anniversary, Richard Alley and colleagues highlight the advances in our weather and environmental forecasting ability and the many societal benefits they provide.

Read More: Weather News and Weather Current Events
Brightsurf.com is a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to Amazon.com.