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Simple test identifies patients at high risk for future dialysis or transplant

January 27, 2020

A low-cost test that screens for excess protein in the urine has been shown to accurately identify patients at higher risk for progressive kidney disease after being hospitalized for acute kidney injury, according to a new study by researchers at UC San Francisco.

Targeting treatment to these high-risk patients could reduce the future need for dialysis or kidney transplants and save patients and the U.S. health care system billions of dollars, the researchers said.

In a study of more than 1,500 patients with and without acute kidney injury (AKI) -- a condition in which the kidneys suddenly cannot filter waste from the blood -- those with higher levels of protein in the urine three months after hospital discharge were found to have a 150 percent greater risk of future kidney disease.

The findings appear online Jan. 27, 2020, in JAMA Internal Medicine.

Acute kidney injury can occur at any age and has various causes and complex symptoms. It affects more than 200,000 patients in the United States each year and 13.3 million worldwide. Patients who recover have a greater likelihood of recurrence, kidney disease progression, kidney failure, heart disease and even death. About 20 percent of patients develop chronic kidney disease within three to five years.

Prior research found that acute kidney injury was associated with a $5.4 billion to $24 billion increase in U.S. hospitalization costs. The most expensive patients were those requiring dialysis, for whom costs were $11,016 to $42,077 higher per hospitalization than for patients without acute kidney injury. AKI also results in an additional 3.2 days of hospitalization per patient, with costs higher than myocardial infarction and gastrointestinal bleeding and comparable to stroke, pancreatitis and pneumonia.

Proteinuria, or excess protein in the urine, is an important indicator of kidney function that can signal early kidney disease. However, it is not commonly measured in patients after AKI has occurred, despite being an inexpensive, non-invasive test that is frequently used by clinicians in other settings.

"There should be much more emphasis on the testing of proteinuria after AKI to identify high-risk patients," said lead author Chi-yuan Hsu, MD, MSc, professor and chief of nephrology at UCSF. "This simple test carries important prognostic information not conveyed by serum creatinine."

"Too many providers rely on serum creatinine alone to assess the health of the kidneys, but they should not be falsely assured by the latter," Hsu said. "Having a more complete picture of kidney health is necessary for proper clinical decision-making."

In the JAMA Internal Medicine study, Hsu and his colleagues provided results from their study of 1,538 hospitalized adults, equally divided between having or not having acute kidney injury. Patients in this decade-long study were enrolled between December 2009 and February 2015, with semiannual phone contact and an annual in-person visit through November 2018.

During an average follow up of 4.7 years, 138 patients overall (9 percent) had kidney disease progression, and 58 patients had end-stage renal disease. Of those with AKI, 97 patients (12.6 percent) had kidney disease progression. Those with proteinuria after three months were found to have a 1.5-times higher risk of disease progression.

In conjunction with testing, therapies to reduce proteinuria, such as blood pressure control or medications, may reduce adverse outcomes, said Hsu, who also is an adjunct investigator with the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research. Kaiser Permanente/UCSF was one of four North American clinical centers involved in the study.

"Most patients with acute kidney injury are unaware of their condition, lack understanding of its natural history or predisposing factors, and desire more information," Hsu said. "However, few discharge communications currently provided to these patients explain the condition or provide recommendations for care, which is needed throughout the care continuum."
Co-Authors: Senior author Edward Siew and T. Alp Ikizler, of Vanderbilt University Medical Center; Vernon Chinchilli and Nasrollah Ghahramani, of Penn State University College of Medicine; Steven Coca, of Mount Sinai Icahn School of Medicine; Prasad Devarajan, of Cincinnati Children's Hospital; Alan Go, of Kaiser Permanente Northern California; Raymond Hsu and Kathleen Liu, of UCSF; James Kaufman, of New York University School of Medicine and VA New York Harbor Health Care System; Chirag Parikh, of Johns Hopkins School of Medicine; W. Brian Reeves, of University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio; Mark Wurfel, of University of Washington; Michael Zappitelli, of University of Toronto Hospital for Sick Children; and Paul Kimmel, of National Institutes of Health (NIH) National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (NIDDK). Siew is also with the Tennessee Valley Health Services Nashville VA Hospital, and Go is also with UCSF.

Funding: ASSESS-AKI was supported by cooperative agreements from the NIH NIDDK (U01DK082223, U01DK082185, U01DK082192, U01DK082183) and NIH (R01DK098233, R01DK101507, R01DK114014, K23DK100468, R03DK111881). The authors report no conflicts of interest.

About UCSF: The University of California, San Francisco (UCSF) is exclusively focused on the health sciences and is dedicated to promoting health worldwide through advanced biomedical research, graduate-level education in the life sciences and health professions, and excellence in patient care. UCSF Health, which serves as UCSF's primary academic medical center, includes top-ranked specialty hospitals and other clinical programs, and has affiliations throughout the Bay Area. Learn more at, or see our Fact Sheet.

University of California - San Francisco

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