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Doctors over-estimate survival of terminally ill patients
Doctors tend to over-estimate the survival of terminally ill cancer patients, but become more accurate closer to the date of death, finds a study in this week's BMJ. (2003-07-24)
The complexity of tropical forest structure defies simple characterization
In a forthcoming pair of papers in Ecology Letters, Muller-Landau and collaborators associated with the Center for Tropical Science test the predictions of the theory of metabolic ecology using large datasets from tropical forests around the world. (2006-04-10)
Can doctors identify older patients at risk of medication harm?
Medication-related harm (MRH) is common in older adults following hospital discharge. (2018-07-02)
Consumers overpredict the use of holiday gifts
Consumers overpredict how often they'll use the gifts they want for Christmas. (2009-12-09)
Climate predictions several years into the future?
In five years, will the winter be mild, and will the following summer be rainy? (2020-07-22)
Quicker and twice as accurate predictions
With ever-increasing amounts of online information available, modelling and predicting individual preferences for certain products is becoming more and more important. (2016-11-28)
Predicting the weather or the economy? How to make forecasts more trustworthy
Attention all you would-be forecasters out there. Do you want people to think you know the future? (2015-08-12)
NYU, Rockefeller researchers find complexity of regulation by microRNA genes
Collaborating researchers at New York University and Rockefeller University have discovered that microRNA genes, which have recently been shown to have key roles in gene regulation, can team up and regulate target genes in mammals. (2005-04-04)
Targeted investments in climate science could present enormous economic savings across the globe
Targeted investments in climate science could lead to major benefits in reducing the costs of adapting to a changing climate, according to new research published by scientists from the UK's National Centre for Atmospheric Science. (2009-08-19)
ERC Advanced Grant for large-scale study of coastal change
TU Delft professor Marcel Stive has received a €2.9 million ERC Advanced Grant from the EU. (2011-10-27)
The scientific brain
Good science involves formulating a hypothesis and testing whether this hypothesis is compatible with the scientist's observations. (2010-03-11)
Second, more realistic estimate can reduce planning and purchasing errors
The next time a contractor tells you the kitchen remodeling will be done in six weeks, you might ask him to get real and reconsider his estimate. (2009-02-26)
The wonderful world of waves
Off the shores of Duck, N.C., researchers will soon gather for an experiment aimed at improving wave forecasting. (1999-10-06)
Accuracy of physician and nurse predictions for survival, functional outcomes after an ICU admission
Physicians were more accurate in predicting the likelihood of death and less accurate in predicting cognitive abilities in six months for critically ill intensive care unit (ICU) patients; nurses' predictions were similar or less accurate, according to a study published by JAMA. (2017-05-21)
Communicating uncertainty about climate change
The ways climate scientists explain their predictions about the impact of global warming can either promote or limit their persuasiveness. (2019-10-17)
Why we learn from our mistakes
Psychologists from the University of Exeter have identified an (2007-07-01)
Numerical validation of quantum magnetic ordering
A new study set out to use numerical simulations to validate previous theoretical predictions describing materials exhibiting so-called antiferromagneting characteristics. (2013-10-22)
NIST study helps auto engineers by the numbers
A NIST research project has identified a potential source of error in the surface roughness data used in the automotive industry to predict how friction affects production of metal parts during forming. (2004-03-11)
To bet or not to bet: How the brain learns to estimate risk
Researchers from EPFL and Caltech have made an important neurobiological discovery of how humans learn to predict risk. (2008-03-12)
Near-term climate prediction 'coming of age', study shows
The quest for climate scientists to be able to bridge the gap between shorter-term seasonal forecasts and long-term climate projections is 'coming of age', a study shows. (2019-01-22)
Mathematical curves predict evolution in COVID-19 spread
Through research published in EPJ Plus, researchers identify a clear mathematical trend in the evolution of daily new COVID-19 cases and death numbers in China, and use the same curve to predict how a similar slowdown will unfold in Italy. (2020-04-23)
Polluted ground water poured into a model
Dutch researcher Phil Ham has developed mathematical models to calculate the natural degradation capacity of polluted groundwater. (2006-04-18)
Snow data from satellites improves temperature predictions, UT researchers show
Researchers with The University of Texas at Austin have found that incorporating snow data collected from space into computer climate models can significantly improve seasonal temperature predictions. (2016-12-05)
Model examines pregnancy's effects on opioid addiction treatment
Buprenorphine (BUP) is approved for the treatment of opioid addiction. (2018-06-06)
Herbivore populations will go down as temperatures go up, University of Toronto study says
As climate change causes temperatures to rise, the number of herbivores will decrease, affecting the human food supply, according to new research from the University of Toronto. (2011-10-04)
Forecasting the flu better -- through combo of 'big' and traditional data
UC San Diego researchers say they can predict the spread of flu a week into the future with as much accuracy as Google Flu Trends can display levels of infection right now. (2015-01-29)
Temperature Of Pacific Ocean Influences Midwest Rains, Scholar Says
A correlation between summertime sea-surface temperatures in the Pacific Ocean and precipitation rates in the Midwest may lead to improved seasonal predictions of drought and flood potentials, say researchers at the University of Illinois. (1997-09-05)
Machine learning and quantum mechanics team up to understand water at the atomic level
Why is water densest at around 4 degrees Celsius? Why does ice float? (2019-01-07)
New score can tell doctors how long cancer patients have left to live
A new scoring system can more reliably predict whether patients with advanced cancer are likely to survive for (2011-08-25)
Luxembourgish researchers predict cell conversion factors
Thanks to a newly developed computational method, Luxembourg researchers can accurately predict how one subpopulation of cells can be converted into another. (2018-07-27)
Mining digital crumbs helps predict crowds' mobility
Getting urban planning right is no mean feat. It requires understanding how and when people travel between different places. (2016-11-03)
Scientists develop malaria forecasting tool to predict disease risk
A new tool to predict epidemics of malaria up to five months in advance has been developed by a scientist at the University of Liverpool. (2006-02-07)
Assessing others: Evaluating the expertise of humans and computer algorithms
Caltech researchers used fMRI technology to monitor the brain activity of volunteers as they interacted with (2014-01-15)
Asbestos disease projections too low
Current predictions of the future incidence of asbestos-related disease have been substantially underestimated, according to new modelling to be presented in Melbourne today by an epidemiologist from the Australian National University. (2007-04-02)
Smithsonian study: Sediment prediction tools off the mark
A recent study led by Smithsonian ecologist Kathy Boomer suggests it is time for a change in at least one area of watershed management. (2008-01-29)
Using fluctuating wind power
This is about a new strategy for integrating renewable wind power into existing power grids. (2013-03-25)
How do they do it? Predictions are in for Arctic sea ice low point
Each year scientists predict the low point of Arctic Sea ice. (2012-08-14)
The reason we lose at games
If you have ever wondered why you never seem to win at skill-based games such as poker or chess, there might be a very good reason. (2013-01-07)
The mathematics of capillary phenomena
Attempts to understand capillary phenomena go back to the time of Aristotle and have resulted in formidable scientific and mathematical challenges. (1999-07-07)
Decadal predictability of North Atlantic blocking and the NAO
Decadal predictions are important to study climate evolution on multi-annual to decadal timescales and may represent an unprecedented opportunity for decision-makers to calibrate plans and actions over a temporal horizon of a few years. (2020-07-17)
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