A new study highlights the dual threat of extreme humid heat and catastrophic rainfall during the Indian monsoon, while also revealing a powerful new tool to predict the monsoon up to two years in advance. The research paints a sobering picture of climate change's impact on the region.
SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateJun 23, 2026
A new record of past Indian monsoon drought history has been developed using oxygen isotopes in stalagmites, correlating with historical accounts of severe droughts and societal changes. Protracted droughts tend to occur in clusters within decades-long intervals of weaker monsoon rainfall.
SourceXi'an Jiaotong University, Institute of Global Environmental Change·JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences·DateSep 19, 2022
Climate scientists have developed an improved three-month preseasonal forecast for the Indian monsoon onset using machine learning. The predictions show accuracy of +/- 4.8 days and cover climate changes since 1948, offering a promising basis for future research.
SourceUniversity of Copenhagen - Faculty of Science·JournalEnvironmental Research Letters·DateJul 6, 2021
Apple Watch Series 11 (GPS, 46mm)
Apple Watch Series 11 (GPS, 46mm) tracks health metrics and safety alerts during long observing sessions, fieldwork, and remote expeditions.
Researchers have found that ECMWF's SEAS5 system accurately predicts the timing of the monsoon in India's major agricultural regions, a month in advance. This information can be crucial for farmers to prepare for unexpected heavy rainfall or extended dry periods, which regularly destroy crops in India.
SourceUniversity of Reading·JournalClimate Dynamics·DateFeb 8, 2021
Large volcanic eruptions improve monsoon predictability by synchronizing with El Niño events, making it easier to anticipate seasonal rainfall in India. This finding helps develop climate models and assess regional implications of geo-engineering experiments.
SourcePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)·JournalScience Advances·DateSep 18, 2020
Researchers from Ruhr-University Bochum and University of Oxford studied a dripstone from India's Mawmluh Cave to reconstruct the Indian monsoon's past climate. They found the monsoon was less reliable 125,000 years ago, suggesting global warming may lead to similar changes.
SourceRuhr-University Bochum·JournalGeophysical Research Letters·DateNov 12, 2019
A new study finds that strong Indian monsoons can push Atlantic Ocean hurricanes westward, increasing the likelihood they'll make landfall in the Americas. This newly-discovered relationship could help scientists better predict hurricane paths, especially during late summer months.
SourceAmerican Geophysical Union·JournalGeophysical Research Letters·DateOct 23, 2018
Researchers project a significant decline in Indian monsoon low-pressure system activity, with a 45% decrease expected by the late 21st century. This change is associated with a poleward shift in LPS formation, leading to increased extreme precipitation in northern India.
SourceProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences·JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences·DateFeb 26, 2018
Anker Laptop Power Bank 25,000mAh (Triple 100W USB-C)
Anker Laptop Power Bank 25,000mAh (Triple 100W USB-C) keeps Macs, tablets, and meters powered during extended observing runs and remote surveys.
Scientists predict Indian monsoon's onset two weeks earlier and its withdrawal six weeks earlier than before. The new method uses network analysis of regional weather data to improve prediction accuracy, particularly for years affected by El Nino-Southern Oscillation.
SourcePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)·JournalGeophysical Research Letters·DateApr 20, 2016
A Purdue University study found that ground moisture at landfall is a major indicator of tropical storm behavior. Storms are more likely to sustain and cause heavy rains when the ground is wet, while dry conditions tend to calm them down.
SourcePurdue University·JournalGeophysical Research Letters·DateAug 26, 2009