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Exact formula now available for measuring scientific success

A Polish team has developed an analytical method to predict the h-index, a key scientific measurement, using bibliometric data. The study provides an exact formula to calculate external citations and self-citations for each paper written by an author, opening doors for growth analysis in social networks and different scientific fields.

SourceSpringer·JournalThe European Physical Journal B·DateFeb 1, 2016

Study: Models to predict scientists' future impact often fail

Researchers at Aalto University found that current models for forecasting scientist's future contributions are unreliable and can grossly overestimate their predictability. The study analyzed 762 scientists from three disciplines and identified subtle flaws in current models, including false autocorrelation and varying predictive power...

SourceAalto University·JournalScientific Reports·DateOct 30, 2013

Predicting if scientists will be stars

A new Northwestern University study developed a formula that accurately predicts a young scientist's success in the life sciences, considering factors like publications, h-index, and high-impact journal articles. The formula is more than twice as accurate as existing methods for predicting future success.

SourceNorthwestern University·JournalNature·DateSep 12, 2012