The rate of functional cure (HBsAg loss) remains unsatisfactory following pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN) treatment in chronic hepatitis B. To optimize PEG-IFN administration, this study aimed to evaluate virological markers to predict functional cure and/or hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) loss.
Relevant studies assessing virologic markers for predicting functional cure and HBeAg loss after PEG-IFN therapy were systematically retrieved from PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and Web of Science up to November 2023. Predictive effectiveness was evaluated via the summary receiver operating characteristic curve.
We analyzed 38 studies (6,179 patients). HBsAg decline at week 24 had the greatest discriminative ability according to the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) (0.89) and sensitivity (0.88) for predicting functional cure, whereas baseline HBsAg had a comparable AUROC (0.86) and highest specificity (0.79), with both being significantly better than baseline hepatitis B core-related antigen and hepatitis B virus (HBV) RNA (all P < 0.001). For HBeAg loss or seroconversion, HBV RNA, HBV DNA, HBeAg, and HBeAg decline at week 12, as well as HBV DNA and HBeAg decline at week 24, all exhibited comparable predictive values (AUROC = 0.75–0.78). HBV RNA and HBeAg levels at week 24 showed optimal sensitivity (0.87), and HBeAg decline at week 12 had the highest specificity (0.83).
HBsAg decline at week 24 and baseline HBsAg levels are better predictors of functional cure than novel virologic markers, while on-treatment HBV RNA and HBeAg levels and dynamic changes are the most reliable indicators for HBeAg loss.
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https://www.xiahepublishing.com/2310-8819/JCTH-2025-00443
The study was recently published in the Journal of Clinical and Translational Hepatology .
The Journal of Clinical and Translational Hepatology (JCTH) is owned by the Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University and published by XIA & HE Publishing Inc. JCTH publishes high quality, peer reviewed studies in the translational and clinical human health sciences of liver diseases. JCTH has established high standards for publication of original research, which are characterized by a study’s novelty, quality, and ethical conduct in the scientific process as well as in the communication of the research findings. Each issue includes articles by leading authorities on topics in hepatology that are germane to the most current challenges in the field. Special features include reports on the latest advances in drug development and technology that are relevant to liver diseases. Regular features of JCTH also include editorials, correspondences and invited commentaries on rapidly progressing areas in hepatology. All articles published by JCTH, both solicited and unsolicited, must pass our rigorous peer review process.
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Journal of Clinical and Translational Hepatology
Traditional and Novel Virologic Markers for Functional Cure and HBeAg Loss with Pegylated Interferon in Chronic Hepatitis B: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis
26-Dec-2025