Determining greenhouse gas emissions precisely and consistently is essential for mitigating climate change. Due to different methods and definitions, however, the land-use-related CO 2 fluxes calculated from global models deviate from the data furnished to the UN in the country reports. In their reports, for example, the countries frequently combine natural and indirect, human-caused CO 2 flows on managed land. This leads to a certain amount of double-counting of natural CO 2 absorption by the ground and vegetation, causing an overestimation of the remaining carbon budget to limit global warming to 1.5°C or 2°C.
A team led by LMU geographers Clemens Schwingshackl and Julia Pongratz has now harmonized the various calculation methods at country level and determined possible reasons for outstanding differences. The researchers’ analysis allows country targets to reduce CO 2 emissions from land use to be evaluated with greater precision, thereby supporting the fair distribution of climate mitigation goals.
One Earth
Data/statistical analysis
Separating natural and land-use CO2 fluxes at country-level to reconcile land-based mitigation estimates.
16-Dec-2022