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Don't trust experts' forecasts, O.R. study says

08.28.07 | Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences

A study about predicting the outcome of actual conflicts found that the forecasts of experts who use their unaided judgment are little better than those of novices, according to a new study in a publication of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS®).

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Keywords

Decision Making Universities War

Article Information

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Contact Information

Barry List

barry.list@informs.org

Source

This article is based on a news release from Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences. BrightSurf curates and republishes science news from research institutions worldwide; the original release is linked below.

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http://www.informs.org/article.php?id=1319&p=1|

How to Cite This Article

APA:

Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences. (2007, August 28). Don't trust experts' forecasts, O.R. study says. Brightsurf News. https://www.brightsurf.com/news/86GZW7ML/dont-trust-experts-forecasts-or-study-says.html

MLA:

"Don't trust experts' forecasts, O.R. study says." Brightsurf News, Aug. 28 2007, https://www.brightsurf.com/news/86GZW7ML/dont-trust-experts-forecasts-or-study-says.html.