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Research finds support for 'Trump effect'

A new study from University of California, Riverside, found that Donald Trump's racially inflammatory speech emboldened particular members of the public to express their prejudices. Exposure to such rhetoric made individuals feel more comfortable expressing their prejudice, while silence from other elites gave the impression that a nor...

SourceUniversity of California - Riverside·JournalBritish Journal of Political Science·DateFeb 24, 2020

Campaign contributions by oil and gas companies

Oil and gas companies contributed over $84 million to US congressional candidates in 2018, largely influencing environmental policy votes. The study found a negative association between oil and gas company contributions and subsequent LCV scores, suggesting a reward system for legislators voting against pro-environmental policies.

SourceProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences·JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences·DateFeb 24, 2020

Voters agree with polls that favor their candidates

A new study by researchers at the University of Michigan and University of Pennsylvania indicates that individuals disproportionately find polls more credible when their preferred candidate is leading. The study suggests that emphasizing polls' methodological quality can lessen voters' biases, potentially benefiting democracy.

SourceUniversity of Michigan·JournalInternational Journal of Public Opinion Research·DateNov 7, 2019

How partisan hate leads people to believe falsehoods

A study by Ohio State University found that partisan media use is linked to stronger negative feelings and false beliefs about political opponents. Researchers surveyed Americans using various news outlets during the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections, discovering a correlation between increased hostility and belief in misperceptions.

SourceOhio State University·JournalJournal of Communication·DateOct 16, 2019

Being attractive helps, but it isn't everything

Research finds that physically attractive candidates can gain up to 11 percentage points in US House of Representatives elections and 3.8 percentage points in German Bundestag elections due to their appearance. However, competent appearance and likeability have a lesser impact on voter decisions.

SourceUniversity of Freiburg·JournalAmerican Politics Research·DateOct 15, 2019

Political parties with less interest in an issue more likely to take radical stance

A study from Lancaster University and the University of Hagen found that parties with less stake in an issue tend to adopt extreme policy positions when creating election pledges. This is because they are more likely to pander to voters by offering attractive but potentially radical solutions. In contrast, parties with strong interests...

SourceLancaster University·JournalEuropean Economic Review·DateOct 10, 2019

Attitudes toward race, immigration underscored vote switching in 2016 election

A new study from UC Riverside suggests that concerns about race and immigration were the primary determinants of vote switching in the 2016 presidential election. The researchers found that both working-class and non-working-class whites who held punitive immigration or racially conservative views were more likely to switch to Donald T...

SourceUniversity of California - Riverside·JournalPublic Opinion Quarterly·DateJul 25, 2019

Rurality, social identity is driving polarization in Iowa

A new Iowa State University study found that rurality, education, and race significantly predicted the change from Democrat to Republican in Iowa. White, rural voters without a college education were more likely to switch to Republican. The research counters the narrative that economic anxiety was the reason for this shift.

SourceIowa State University·JournalSociological Quarterly·DateApr 22, 2019

Challenging the conventional wisdom about the Canadian electorate

A new study in Heliyon identifies distinct opinion patterns on positional issues among Canadian voters, suggesting a micro-targeting marketing strategy could be effective. The research found that many Canadians have strong opinions on divisive issues, comparable to conventional vote predictors like party identification.

SourceElsevier·JournalHeliyon·DateApr 16, 2019

First study to find digital ads work, on millennials

A study published in Political Communication found that digital ads increased voter participation in a Dallas municipal election by 2.6 percentage points. The ads targeted millennials with information and reminders, resulting in higher turnout rates in competitive districts.

SourceVirginia Tech·JournalPolitical Communication·DateJan 30, 2019