A new study estimates the intensity and frequency of extreme novel pandemics, finding that large pandemics like COVID-19 are relatively likely due to growing risks. The study suggests that a pandemic similar in scale to COVID-19 is likely within 59 years, highlighting the need for adjusted perceptions of pandemic risks.
SourceDuke University·JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences·TypeData/statistical analysis·DateAug 23, 2021
Sky-Watcher EQ6-R Pro Equatorial Mount
Sky-Watcher EQ6-R Pro Equatorial Mount provides precise tracking capacity for deep-sky imaging rigs during long astrophotography sessions.
A 25-year study found a higher risk of fatal traffic crashes after 4:20 p.m. on April 20 compared to the same time period on other days. The study analyzed data from 1.3 million drivers involved in 882,483 crashes between 1992 and 2016.
SourceJAMA Network·JournalJAMA Internal Medicine·DateFeb 12, 2018
The paper investigates differences between minimum and maximum information levels, introducing new theorems and concepts like overall info difference and typical ratios. It also explores inverse problems and applies comprehensive analysis to derive new insights.
SourceBentham Science Publishers·JournalThe Open Statistics & Probability Journal·DateOct 3, 2017
Researchers validated a new earthquake forecasting model based on the Amatrice-Norcia sequence, showing improved accuracy compared to existing models. The 'brick-by-brick' approach of the operational earthquake forecasting system may revolutionize seismologists' ability to forecast earthquakes.
SourceAmerican Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)·JournalScience Advances·DateSep 13, 2017
Rigol DP832 Triple-Output Bench Power Supply
Rigol DP832 Triple-Output Bench Power Supply powers sensors, microcontrollers, and test circuits with programmable rails and stable outputs.
Cox was recognized for his 1972 paper on the proportional hazards model, widely used in survival data analysis. The model has been applied to various fields, leading to life-changing breakthroughs and societal impact.
A new study by Dartmouth College researchers finds that bipartisan coalitions are more likely to form in Congress when it becomes more polarized, enabling lawmakers to override presidential vetoes. This occurs as party leaders gain control over procedures and presidents use veto power strategically.
SourceDartmouth College·JournalPolitical Research Quarterly·DateApr 7, 2017
Researchers aim to quantify global warming's influence on extreme climate and weather events, focusing on unprecedented events. Advanced statistical techniques and long-term climate observations are used to analyze the relationship between human influence and extreme event probabilities.
Dr. Tyrone Duncan will receive the W. T. and Idalia Reid Prize for his fundamental contributions to nonlinear filtering, stochastic control, and probability geometry. The prize recognizes his work in differential geometry, probability, stochastic control, and statistics.
SourceSociety for Industrial and Applied Mathematics·DateJun 19, 2013
Researchers Jack Brimberg and Bill Hurley develop a mathematical model to assess the importance of scoring the first goal in soccer and hockey. Their Poisson distribution-based formula takes into account factors like league position and time remaining, providing a probability of winning for each team.
SourceInderscience Publishers·JournalInternational Journal of Operational Research·DateJun 2, 2009
Apple iPhone 17 Pro
Apple iPhone 17 Pro delivers top performance and advanced cameras for field documentation, data collection, and secure research communications.
A recent study by North Carolina State University reveals that banks' Value-at-Risk (VaR) models are not accurately reflecting market fluctuations. This can lead to a lack of sufficient capital reserves, putting banks at risk of exhaustion and financial distress.
SourceNorth Carolina State University·JournalManagement Science·DateMay 26, 2009
The Journal of the Korean Statistical Society will be published by Elsevier starting from 2008, with an international editorial board and increased availability on ScienceDirect. The journal publishes original research articles on statistics and probability theory, as well as innovative applications and current topics.
SourceElsevier·JournalJournal of the Korean Statistical Society·DateFeb 4, 2008
University of Michigan professor Rodney Ewing argues that the Nuclear Regulatory Commission's method for assessing the Yucca Mountain site's safety is flawed due to large uncertainties. He proposes a more comprehensive approach by evaluating independent barriers, such as canisters and rock layers, to ensure the site's long-term safety.
A physicist claims that scientists have underestimated the devastating potential costs of creating killer strangelets at a new US particle accelerator. The probability of such an event is tiny, but Kent argues that the scale of the destruction should be considered in risk assessments.
SourceNew Scientist·JournalThe New Scientist·DateOct 3, 2000
SAMSUNG T9 Portable SSD 2TB
SAMSUNG T9 Portable SSD 2TB transfers large imagery and model outputs quickly between field laptops, lab workstations, and secure archives.
The article explores the idea that time is an illusion, proposing a timeless universe where all configurations exist simultaneously. This concept is rooted in Einstein's general theory of relativity and quantum mechanics, suggesting an eternal, four-dimensional structure called Platonia.
SourceNew Scientist·JournalThe New Scientist·DateOct 13, 1999
A joint project between Nissan and MIT, the system uses computer and sensor data to monitor driving patterns and predict actions. With accuracy of 95%, it aims to build cars that adapt to individual drivers' needs.
SourceNew Scientist·JournalThe New Scientist·DateJun 16, 1999
Researchers found that teenagers interpret probability terms differently than adults, with varying ranges within each age group. The study suggests using numeric scales or visual aids to convey risk information effectively and asks for further testing to confirm its findings.
SourceUniversity of California - San Francisco·DateMay 4, 1999
A study by Columbia University statistics professor Andrew Gelman and colleagues found that small-state voters have a higher probability of affecting the outcome of presidential races due to the electoral college system. In close national elections, vote tallies in politically balanced states are more likely to determine the outcome.
SourceColumbia University·JournalJournal of the American Statistical Association·DateMar 16, 1998
Researchers from USGS, UC Berkeley, LLNL, and PG&E are studying the northern segment of the Hayward fault by excavating 10-foot-deep trenches. They will analyze soil layers, pollen, and carbon-14 to establish past earthquake dates and recurrence intervals. The project aims to inform the updated Bay Area Earthquake Probability Report.
Meta Quest 3 512GB
Meta Quest 3 512GB enables immersive mission planning, terrain rehearsal, and interactive STEM demos with high-resolution mixed-reality experiences.
Selective hypothesis testing, considering only one possible outcome, contributes to overestimation of probability and increased gambling decisions. Training in abstract reasoning skills may counteract this influence.
SourceAmerican Psychological Association·DateJun 2, 1997
Stephen Schneider proposes a 'meta-institution' to evaluate scientific assertions and urges citizens to ask experts for information. He recommends asking three questions: What can happen, what are the odds, and how do you know?, to help navigate complex decisions.