Articles tagged with Weather Forecasting
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The Global Precipitation Measurement mission's core satellite measured rainfall rates throughout Tropical Storm Jerry, revealing heavy rainfall on the eastern and southern sides of the storm. The data is used by forecasters at NOAA's National Hurricane Center to inform their forecasts and warnings.
Tropical Storm Kiko maintained its strength and shape after weakening from hurricane-force, with strong bands of thunderstorms visible in satellite imagery. The storm is forecast to slowly strengthen and potentially regain hurricane strength on Friday.
Tropical Depression Imelda brought heavy rainfall to northeastern Texas, with NASA estimating over 10 inches of rain fell between Houston and Beaumont. The storm's rainfall totals are expected to produce significant flash floods, prompting flash flood watches for parts of eastern Texas and western Louisiana.
Tropical Storm Mario has lost its rounded shape, indicating weakening, according to NASA-NOAA satellite imagery. Wind shear is affecting the storm, with powerful thunderstorms stretching high into the troposphere, suggesting heavy rainfall potential.
A recent study published in Science finds that investing in climate change mitigation can save more money than the costs of climate change itself. The research highlights the benefits of limiting global warming to 1.5°C and suggests that rapidly reducing greenhouse gas emissions is essential to avoid catastrophic consequences.
NASA's Aqua Satellite provided visible data on Major Hurricane Humberto, revealing powerful thunderstorms and a shift in its structure. The storm is expected to weaken today and become a post-tropical cyclone by Friday, with hazardous conditions persisting along the coast of Bermuda.
Tropical Storm Jerry developed in North Atlantic Ocean this season, with NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite providing crucial images of its structure. The storm showed strong bands of thunderstorms, indicating better organization, and forecasters confirmed its strengthening due to warm waters and low wind shear.
A team of scientists at Northern Illinois University successfully forecasted the nation's extensive tornado outbreak in late May 2019, three to four weeks before it occurred. The prediction used historical weather-pattern records and methodologies to predict severe weather across the continental United States with extended lead times.
Tropical Storm Mario is intensifying with heavy rainfall rates of over 36 mm per hour. The storm is expected to become nearly stationary from early Friday through early Saturday, with maximum sustained winds increasing to near 65 mph.
NASA's AIRS instrument captured temperatures in Tropical Depression Imelda, providing insight into the storm's rainfall potential over eastern Texas. Forecasters incorporated the data into their forecasts, predicting heavy rains and significant flash flooding along the Gulf Coast.
Tropical Storm Kiko's circular area of strong storms was observed by NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite on Sept. 17, showing bands of thunderstorms over the northern and western quadrants. The storm is moving west-southwest at 6 mph with maximum sustained winds near 60 mph.
A team of researchers has developed a new volcano eruption forecasting technique using the Kalman filtering method, which captures the unique unrest patterns of the Okmok volcano in Alaska. The study reveals that past eruptions are key to understanding the likelihood of future volcanic activity.
NASA used infrared data to analyze Tropical Storm Faxai, revealing powerful storms just offshore of Japan. The satellite found coldest cloud top temperatures as cold as -63 degrees Fahrenheit around Faxai's center.
Fragmented strong storms remain in the remnants of Tropical Storm Fernand, capable of generating heavy rainfall. The storms were detected by NASA's Aqua satellite using infrared light, with cloud top temperatures as cold as -70 degrees Fahrenheit.
NASA's Aqua satellite captured an image of Hurricane Juliette over Socorro Island in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. The storm's strong thunderstorms affected the island with heavy rainfall. NASA's research indicates that cold cloud top temperatures are indicative of powerful storms capable of creating heavy rain.
NASA used its Aqua satellite to analyze Tropical Storm Fernand's strength before it made landfall in northeastern Mexico. The storm had coldest cloud top temperatures as cold as minus 63 degrees Fahrenheit, indicating strong storms with heavy rain potential.
Tropical Depression 7 has powerful thunderstorms with heavy rain capabilities affecting southern Texas and northeastern Mexico. NASA's Aqua satellite analysis found strongest storms in fragmented bands, with cloud top temperatures as cold as minus 70 degrees Fahrenheit.
Hurricane Dorian has strengthened to near 110 mph with higher gusts, threatening the Bahamas and southeastern US with life-threatening storm surge and heavy rainfall. The storm is expected to produce 6-12 inches of rain and cause life-threatening flash floods.
NASA's fleet of satellites is gathering data on Hurricane Dorian, helping scientists understand its structure and predict its path. The storms maximum sustained winds are currently at 115 mph with higher gusts, posing a significant threat to Florida and the northwestern Bahamas.
Tropical Storm Podul is expected to make landfall on August 29 in central and north Vietnam. The storm is currently located about 108 nautical miles north of Da Nang, Vietnam, with maximum sustained winds of 35 knots.
Extra-Tropical Storm Erin has merged with a frontal system off the US east coast, according to NASA data. Cloud top temperatures as cold as minus 70 degrees Fahrenheit indicate strong storms with heavy rainfall potential.
NASA's Terra satellite captures images of Hurricane Dorian near St. Thomas on August 28, 2019, confirming its Category 1 status. The storm is expected to continue strengthening over the Atlantic waters, posing a threat to the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and other regions.
Tropical Depression 10E has formed in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, with NASA's GOES-West satellite capturing its formation near latitude 15.4 degrees north and longitude 107.3 degrees west. The depression is expected to strengthen over the next couple of days, potentially becoming a tropical storm by tonight and a hurricane by Friday.
A new machine learning method, MOML, simulates weather consultation to improve forecast accuracy by 27.91% compared to ECMWF model forecasts. The approach leverages observational data and both high- and low-frequency information for more accurate results.
Scientists trained a deep learning model to recognize features of individual storms that affect hail formation and size, improving prediction accuracy by up to 10%. The study highlights the importance of considering a storm's entire structure in hail forecasting.
A new approach developed at Penn State's Center for Advanced Data Assimilation and Predictability Techniques can accurately forecast the intensity and trajectory of Hurricane Harvey. The method uses data from the GOES-16 satellite and Penn State's all-sky radiance technique, which more accurately models hurricanes.
NASA's Aqua satellite analyzed Tropical Storm Krosa's cloud top temperatures on Aug. 15, revealing the strongest storms south of the center. The analysis found coldest cloud top temperatures as cold as minus 63 degrees Fahrenheit, indicating strong storms capable of creating heavy rain.
Typhoon Lekima made landfall in China on Aug. 10, causing billions of dollars in damage and fatal outcomes. NASA's Terra satellite captured visible images of the storm's remnant clouds over the Northwestern Pacific Ocean, prompting severe weather warnings from China's National Meteorological Center.
A predictive model combining plant physiology, soil conditions, and weather forecasts helps make informed decisions about irrigation, conserving up to 40% of water used. The research also aims to identify the best method for each crop and determine the costs and benefits of switching to an automated system.
Tropical Storm Barry moved slowly north through Arkansas and Louisiana, causing widespread flooding along the Mississippi River. The storm dropped up to 15 inches of rain in some areas, with local flash flooding remaining a likely threat.
The FY series satellite program has undergone four main stages, with recent advancements focusing on improved core data processing techniques. Chinese meteorological satellites are now a crucial component of the global observing system, providing stable and accurate measurements.
Satellites analyzing developing gulf potential Tropical Cyclone Two have predicted heavy rainfall and storm surge for the central Gulf Coast. The system is forecast to strengthen into a tropical depression on Thursday morning and a hurricane by Friday.
NASA's GPM core satellite detected the heaviest rainfall rates in Hurricane Barbara, exceeding 50 mm per hour around the eye. The storm is expected to weaken, transitioning from a category 4 hurricane to a tropical storm on Friday.
Research by University of Wisconsin-Madison scientists found that irrigated farms in the region lower maximum temperatures by one to three degrees Fahrenheit on average, while increasing minimum temperatures up to four degrees. This cooling effect can significantly impact local climate, plant growth, and human health.
Researchers developed an AI framework that detects rotational movements in clouds from satellite images, pointing to potentially threatening storm formations. The method achieved 99% accuracy and predicted 64% of severe weather events, outperforming existing detection methods.
Tropical Storm Alvin has strengthened into a strong tropical storm just over 500 miles from Mexico's Baja California peninsula. Satellite imagery reveals improved convective structure and organized clouds around the low-level center.
Researchers review existing works on using IoT and crowdsourced data for atmospheric research, highlighting its potential to improve weather forecasting and monitoring environmental processes. The innovative approach can provide valuable insights into atmospheric conditions, such as temperature, pressure, and air pollution.
The German Research Foundation is extending funding for a research project to improve weather forecasting capabilities. The project aims to understand the limits of predictability and develop better forecast models, potentially increasing accuracy beyond current seven-to-ten-day ranges.
Colorado State University's Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA) has received a new $128 million cooperative agreement with NOAA. CIRA supports various NOAA research initiatives, including forecast model improvements and real-time satellite tools.
Tropical Cyclone Ann is a category 1 storm with sustained winds of 40 knots (46 mph) near its center. The cyclone is expected to make landfall on the east coast of the Cape York Peninsula, Queensland on May 15 as a category 1 system.
Tropical Cyclone Fani, a Category 4 hurricane, is being closely monitored by NASA's Aqua satellite using infrared analysis. The satellite data revealed cloud top temperatures as cold as minus 80 degrees Fahrenheit, indicating strong storms capable of creating heavy rain.
Tropical Cyclone Fani is strengthening due to favorable conditions of warm sea surface temperatures and low wind shear. The storm's organization improved, with a tight circular area of powerful thunderstorms around its center of circulation.
A new forecasting system provides 72-hour forecasts of fine particulates in New Delhi, helping officials and residents plan to reduce exposure to unhealthy air. The system uses measurements, computer modeling, and statistical techniques, improving accuracy but requiring refinement for precise pollutant levels.
Tropical Storm Lorna's maximum sustained winds reached 60 knots near April 26. The storm was forecast to strengthen into a hurricane and then begin transitioning into an extra-tropical cyclone by the weekend of April 27-28.
Tropical Storm Kenneth formed north of Madagascar and east of the Aldabra Atoll, a ring-shaped coral reef. The storm is expected to strengthen over warm sea surface temperatures and make landfall in extreme northern Mozambique on April 25.
A team of scientists at GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre of Ocean Research Kiel used simulation techniques to analyze the drift of MH370 debris and propose new strategies for tracking marine objects. The study found that Stokes drift, caused by surface waves, plays a crucial role in determining the final position of drifting objects.
Researchers confirm a long-hypothesized limit for weather prediction, first proposed in the 1960s, which is approximately two weeks on average. They used state-of-the-art models to test this limit and found that reliable forecasts are now possible nine to 10 days out in mid-latitudes.
Tropical Cyclone 23S has developed north of the Kimberley coast and generated warnings in Western Australia. The cyclone is expected to move west-southwest while intensifying over the next four days, with a slight risk that it could approach the west Pilbara coast.
Tropical Cyclone Joaninha maintained its eye with visible thunderstorms surrounding it, with maximum sustained winds near 110 knots. The cyclone is forecast to weaken and transition into a subtropical cyclone over the next several days.
A new study from Stockholm University finds that climate changes are affecting weather forecasting accuracy, particularly with predicting summer rain volumes. Meanwhile, temperature and air pressure forecasts are expected to become more accurate.
Tropical Cyclone Trevor has re-emerged in the Gulf of Carpentaria after crossing Cape York Peninsula. The cyclone is expected to intensify further and make landfall near Borroloola as a category 4 severe tropical cyclone.
Scientists propose a new benchmark skill to improve decadal prediction of terrestrial water storage. The study suggests that incorporating decadal climate prediction significantly improves baseline skill over major river basins at various lead times.
A major international collaboration aims to improve weather forecasting across Africa, with a focus on reducing the impact of severe weather events. The project seeks to build confidence between forecasters and users by developing new computer models and satellite methods.
Tropical Cyclone Veronica, a Category 4 system, is moving slowly towards the Pilbara coast of Western Australia. The cyclone is expected to make landfall on March 24, near Whim Creek, with severe coastal impact likely.
Researchers used supercomputer simulations to analyze interactions between tiny ripples on droplet surfaces, finding that these waves enable the initial contact and merger of droplets. The study's findings have implications for improving 3D printing technologies and understanding thunderstorm formation.
Tropical Cyclone Veronica developed off Western Australia's northern coast, with NASA's Aqua satellite capturing its visible image on March 20, 2019. The system intensified over the next two days, adopting a more southerly track towards the Pilbara coast.
Researchers used CubeSats to study alternative remote sensing technologies, finding they can provide added value in local severe storm forecasting. More CubeSats with increased data coverage yielded larger positive impacts, suggesting a cost-saving approach to mitigating data gaps.
Tropical Depression 03W has formed near the island of Yap in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean. The storm is expected to maintain its general course and speed through the weekend, passing close to Koror on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds remain at 30 mph, with damaging winds expected on the north side of the storm.
A NASA study found that the 2015-2016 El Niño event triggered widespread disease outbreaks globally, including plague and hantavirus in Colorado, cholera in Tanzania, and dengue fever in Brazil and Southeast Asia. The study analyzed climate data and public health records to quantify the relationship between El Niño and disease outbreaks.
NASA's Aqua satellite captures visible image of Tropical Cyclone Pola, revealing a developing eye. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center expects the storm to weaken and transition into an extra-tropical storm.