Articles tagged with Weather Forecasting
NASA's GPM core satellite detected the heaviest rainfall rates in Hurricane Barbara, exceeding 50 mm per hour around the eye. The storm is expected to weaken, transitioning from a category 4 hurricane to a tropical storm on Friday.
Research by University of Wisconsin-Madison scientists found that irrigated farms in the region lower maximum temperatures by one to three degrees Fahrenheit on average, while increasing minimum temperatures up to four degrees. This cooling effect can significantly impact local climate, plant growth, and human health.
Researchers developed an AI framework that detects rotational movements in clouds from satellite images, pointing to potentially threatening storm formations. The method achieved 99% accuracy and predicted 64% of severe weather events, outperforming existing detection methods.
Tropical Storm Alvin has strengthened into a strong tropical storm just over 500 miles from Mexico's Baja California peninsula. Satellite imagery reveals improved convective structure and organized clouds around the low-level center.
Researchers review existing works on using IoT and crowdsourced data for atmospheric research, highlighting its potential to improve weather forecasting and monitoring environmental processes. The innovative approach can provide valuable insights into atmospheric conditions, such as temperature, pressure, and air pollution.
The German Research Foundation is extending funding for a research project to improve weather forecasting capabilities. The project aims to understand the limits of predictability and develop better forecast models, potentially increasing accuracy beyond current seven-to-ten-day ranges.
Colorado State University's Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA) has received a new $128 million cooperative agreement with NOAA. CIRA supports various NOAA research initiatives, including forecast model improvements and real-time satellite tools.
Tropical Cyclone Ann is a category 1 storm with sustained winds of 40 knots (46 mph) near its center. The cyclone is expected to make landfall on the east coast of the Cape York Peninsula, Queensland on May 15 as a category 1 system.
Tropical Cyclone Fani, a Category 4 hurricane, is being closely monitored by NASA's Aqua satellite using infrared analysis. The satellite data revealed cloud top temperatures as cold as minus 80 degrees Fahrenheit, indicating strong storms capable of creating heavy rain.
Tropical Cyclone Fani is strengthening due to favorable conditions of warm sea surface temperatures and low wind shear. The storm's organization improved, with a tight circular area of powerful thunderstorms around its center of circulation.
A new forecasting system provides 72-hour forecasts of fine particulates in New Delhi, helping officials and residents plan to reduce exposure to unhealthy air. The system uses measurements, computer modeling, and statistical techniques, improving accuracy but requiring refinement for precise pollutant levels.
Tropical Storm Lorna's maximum sustained winds reached 60 knots near April 26. The storm was forecast to strengthen into a hurricane and then begin transitioning into an extra-tropical cyclone by the weekend of April 27-28.
Tropical Storm Kenneth formed north of Madagascar and east of the Aldabra Atoll, a ring-shaped coral reef. The storm is expected to strengthen over warm sea surface temperatures and make landfall in extreme northern Mozambique on April 25.
A team of scientists at GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre of Ocean Research Kiel used simulation techniques to analyze the drift of MH370 debris and propose new strategies for tracking marine objects. The study found that Stokes drift, caused by surface waves, plays a crucial role in determining the final position of drifting objects.
Researchers confirm a long-hypothesized limit for weather prediction, first proposed in the 1960s, which is approximately two weeks on average. They used state-of-the-art models to test this limit and found that reliable forecasts are now possible nine to 10 days out in mid-latitudes.
Tropical Cyclone 23S has developed north of the Kimberley coast and generated warnings in Western Australia. The cyclone is expected to move west-southwest while intensifying over the next four days, with a slight risk that it could approach the west Pilbara coast.
Tropical Cyclone Joaninha maintained its eye with visible thunderstorms surrounding it, with maximum sustained winds near 110 knots. The cyclone is forecast to weaken and transition into a subtropical cyclone over the next several days.
A new study from Stockholm University finds that climate changes are affecting weather forecasting accuracy, particularly with predicting summer rain volumes. Meanwhile, temperature and air pressure forecasts are expected to become more accurate.
Scientists propose a new benchmark skill to improve decadal prediction of terrestrial water storage. The study suggests that incorporating decadal climate prediction significantly improves baseline skill over major river basins at various lead times.
A major international collaboration aims to improve weather forecasting across Africa, with a focus on reducing the impact of severe weather events. The project seeks to build confidence between forecasters and users by developing new computer models and satellite methods.
Tropical Cyclone Veronica, a Category 4 system, is moving slowly towards the Pilbara coast of Western Australia. The cyclone is expected to make landfall on March 24, near Whim Creek, with severe coastal impact likely.
Tropical Cyclone Trevor has re-emerged in the Gulf of Carpentaria after crossing Cape York Peninsula. The cyclone is expected to intensify further and make landfall near Borroloola as a category 4 severe tropical cyclone.
Tropical Cyclone Veronica developed off Western Australia's northern coast, with NASA's Aqua satellite capturing its visible image on March 20, 2019. The system intensified over the next two days, adopting a more southerly track towards the Pilbara coast.
Researchers used supercomputer simulations to analyze interactions between tiny ripples on droplet surfaces, finding that these waves enable the initial contact and merger of droplets. The study's findings have implications for improving 3D printing technologies and understanding thunderstorm formation.
Researchers used CubeSats to study alternative remote sensing technologies, finding they can provide added value in local severe storm forecasting. More CubeSats with increased data coverage yielded larger positive impacts, suggesting a cost-saving approach to mitigating data gaps.
Tropical Depression 03W has formed near the island of Yap in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean. The storm is expected to maintain its general course and speed through the weekend, passing close to Koror on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds remain at 30 mph, with damaging winds expected on the north side of the storm.
NASA's Aqua satellite captures visible image of Tropical Cyclone Pola, revealing a developing eye. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center expects the storm to weaken and transition into an extra-tropical storm.
A NASA study found that the 2015-2016 El Niño event triggered widespread disease outbreaks globally, including plague and hantavirus in Colorado, cholera in Tanzania, and dengue fever in Brazil and Southeast Asia. The study analyzed climate data and public health records to quantify the relationship between El Niño and disease outbreaks.
Typhoon Wutip has lost its eye and elongated due to wind shear, with maximum sustained winds decreasing to 90 mph. The storm is forecast to continue weakening over the next few days, becoming a depression in a day or two.
Typhoon Wutip shows strong thunderstorms with cloud top temperatures as cold as -80 degrees Fahrenheit, indicative of a powerful storm. The National Weather Service has issued warnings for affected areas, predicting the typhoon to intensify and pass southwest of the Mariana Islands.
Tropical Depression 02W has strengthened into a tropical storm, with NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite capturing visible images of its organized center. The storm is forecast to intensify and potentially become a typhoon, affecting Guam and the surrounding areas.
Tropical Depression 02W has formed in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean, prompting warnings for Pohnpei, Chuuk and Yap States. NASA's Aqua satellite captured infrared data revealing areas with cloud top temperatures as cold as -80 degrees Fahrenheit.
A Cornell University team developed a smart control system that reduces energy usage by up to 10% by predicting accurate weather forecasts and building characteristics.
A new scale has been developed to characterize the strength and impacts of atmospheric rivers, which can deliver heavy precipitation to the Western United States. The scale assigns five categories to atmospheric rivers based on the amount of water vapor they carry and their duration in a given location.
Tropical Cyclone 12S has developed in the Southern Indian Ocean, with NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite capturing its formation on Feb. 5, 2019. The storm is expected to strengthen into a hurricane-force storm by Feb. 7, affecting the Republic of Mauritius.
Advances in weather forecasting have significantly improved accuracy, enabling reliable predictions up to 10 days in advance. This has enabled timely emergency preparations and evacuations for hazardous events like hurricanes and tornadoes, saving countless lives.
Simulating clouds over the Tibetan Plateau helps researchers understand the role of convective systems in disastrous Chinese weather events. The study reveals biased models with excessive water vapor lifting, leading to more high-level ice clouds and less middle-level cumulus cloud.
A new review paper by international climate experts highlights the prospects for skilful near-term climate predictions, out to just a few years ahead. These enhanced models feature the effects of man-made greenhouse gases and natural drivers, providing valuable information for policymakers and aid agencies.
DJ Seo, a civil engineering professor at UTA, is working on a project to merge forecasts and metrics from multiple sources into a single, integrated forecast. This will provide emergency management officials with more accurate and understandable information to make informed decisions during major weather events.
Researchers at Ohio University have found that tornadoes form from the ground up, contrary to long-held theories. This discovery has significant implications for tornado forecasting and warning systems.
A recent study by Chinese researchers reveals that horizontal heat flux in the mixed layer is crucial for extreme heat events. The analysis of a 2015 heatwave found that this factor, combined with sensible heat flux, drove high temperatures.
A collaborative research team examined predictive models used to forecast wind farm effects, revealing the importance of model resolution in simulating weather patterns. Higher vertical and horizontal resolutions improved simulations, but more study is needed to optimize wind energy deployment.
A new algorithm developed in the European TBO-Met project optimizes flight trajectories to reduce delays and enhance safety. The system can predict and mitigate weather-related uncertainties, resulting in increased efficiency and cost savings.
NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite captured the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Owen showing a consolidating low level circulation center with deep convection building over the center. Sea surface temperatures are conducive for future tropical cyclone development, and forecast models indicate potential development over the next 24-36 hours.
Colorado State University scientists use the Madden-Julian Oscillation to forecast severe weather across the Plains and southeastern US. They achieved skillful predictions of severe weather activity about 60% to 70% of the time, including hail and tornadoes.
NASA's Suomi NPP satellite captured Tropical Depression 33W moving through central Philippines and entering the Sulu Sea. The storm is expected to strengthen as it crosses the South China Sea and heads toward Vietnam.
Tropical Storm Man-Yi is strengthening in the Northwestern Pacific, with warnings in effect for the Federated States of Micronesia and the Mariana Islands. The storm is expected to intensify into a typhoon by Thursday, potentially reaching winds of up to 110 mph.
Tropical Depression Man-yi has formed over the Northwestern Pacific Ocean, triggering watches and warnings for several Pacific island nations. The storm is expected to intensify through Friday, possibly becoming a tropical storm, with maximum sustained winds of 30 mph.
Tropical Cyclone Gaja's powerful thunderstorms circled its center, forming a thick band that wrapped into the low-level center from the eastern quadrant. The storm is moving west-southwest and has maximum sustained winds near 45 knots.
The VIMS hypoxia model reports a similar total volume of low-oxygen waters to 2017, but with earlier and longer-lasting low-oxygen conditions. Wind mixing played a crucial role in reducing mid-summer hypoxia.
Researchers developed a comprehensive forecast system to improve accuracy in wind, temperature, humidity, and gust forecasts. The scheme combines results from several global and regional forecasting schemes, reducing errors by up to 4 days.
Typhoon Yutu is intensifying east of Guam, with maximum sustained winds reaching 90 mph. The storm is expected to maintain its general course and speed over the next 24 hours, bringing typhoon-force winds up to 60 miles from the center.
Tropical Storm Yutu rapidly intensified from a tropical depression, becoming a storm with strong thunderstorms and winds of up to 50 mph. The storm is expected to pass just north of Saipan late Wednesday night or Thursday morning, posing a threat to Guam.
Researchers used NLLE approach to estimate predictability limit of TCs over WNP basin, finding a baseline uncertainty of 102 hours comparable to TC intensity. The spatial distribution characteristics reveal varying predictability limits across regions, with highest in eastern WNP and lowest in South China Sea.
Hurricane Michael, a Category 4 storm, was analyzed by NASA's Suomi NPP satellite, revealing strong thunderstorms and tropospheric gravity waves. The eye of the hurricane was well-defined, with maximum sustained winds near 145mph.
The Global Precipitation Measurement mission analyzed Tropical Storm Sergio's rainfall in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. Rainfall rates of over 2.2 inches per hour were measured north of the storm's eye feature.
The University of Oklahoma is developing the fastest and most advanced radar in the nation with a $3.4 million grant. The HORUS radar can scan the atmosphere in 30 seconds or less and distinguish between snowflakes, raindrops, hail stones or other targets within a storm, critical for forecasting and prediction.
Researchers at Penn State have developed a new weather model that incorporates data from next-generation satellites to improve tornado forecasting. The model was able to forecast supercell thunderstorms with high accuracy and suggests that lead times for tornado warnings can be extended beyond 30 minutes.
Tropical Storm Kirk brought intense rain to the Leeward Islands on September 28, with the heaviest downpours recorded near its center. The Global Precipitation Measurement mission detected hourly rainfall rates of up to 4 inches per hour, posing a risk of life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
Typhoon Trami displays symmetrical shape and large eye as it approaches Japan's southern islands. Maximum sustained winds reach near 90 knots, forecast to impact Okinawa Island and surrounding areas.