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Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences


New AI model outperforms traditional methods in predicting Central Pacific El Nino

Researchers developed an AI model powered by deep learning algorithms that outperforms traditional dynamic models in predicting central Pacific El Nino events. The study sheds light on the potential of AI to enhance seasonal forecasts, offering significant advancements in climate prediction.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateJul 24, 2023

Fengyun-4A satellite and machine learning model advance solar photovoltaic resource mapping in China

The Fengyun-4A satellite in collaboration with a machine learning model generated a detailed PV resource map for China, providing new insights into the country's solar energy potential. This advancement sets a new standard for solar resource mapping, empowering decision-makers to make informed choices for a sustainable future.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalRenewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews·DateJul 24, 2023

Subseasonal transition of sea-ice anomalies in the Barents–Kara Sea in winter modulated by the “warm Arctic–cold Eurasia” pattern

The 'warm Arctic–cold Eurasia' pattern influences winter sea-ice anomalies in the Barents–Kara Sea, with a subseasonal transition from negative to positive ice coverage. This phenomenon is linked to atmospheric and oceanic changes driven by global warming.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAtmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters·DateJul 21, 2023

Scientists reveal the remote atmospheric signals ahead of an intense Siberian High and how their impacts differ

Researchers identify three distinct teleconnection patterns that precede intense Siberian High events, impacting surface air temperatures in East Asia. The Scandinavian, West Pacific, and Polar-Eurasian patterns trigger varying cold anomalies with distinct timing and persistence.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAtmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters·DateJul 4, 2023

State-of-the-art climate models provide new insights into the relationship between Asia–Pacific upper-tropospheric temperatures and precipitation

A study using state-of-the-art climate models found that two-thirds of the selected CMIP6 models showed positive correlations between Asian-Pacific Oscillation (APO) and Southeast China precipitation, consistent with observations. The best-performing model ensemble (BMME) simulated the APO-associated precipitation and atmospheric anoma...

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAtmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters·DateJun 29, 2023

The Air Pollution Complex: improved air pollution understanding in China

Researchers in China have developed a new theoretical framework to understand and predict air pollution, highlighting the complexity of coal combustion and vehicle exhaust interactions. The Air Pollution Complex is a holistic approach that considers multiple emission sources and chemical processes.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateJun 15, 2023

Research team studies source of hazardous March and April 2023 dust storms in China

A research team studied the source of hazardous March and April 2023 dust storms in China, finding that Mongolia is the main dust source affecting northern China's weather. The team used advanced models and machine learning techniques to forecast dust events, providing a reference for addressing global dust storm hazards.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateMay 31, 2023

Numerical experiments reveal initial wind field structure as crucial factor in determining tropical cyclone size and intensity

Researchers analyzed wind field structure of tropical cyclones to understand their size and intensity relationship. Vortexes with larger radius of maximum wind expand more under the same level of intensity increment, highlighting the importance of paying attention to incipient storms with large RMW.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateMay 15, 2023

Clarifying the trends of tropical cyclones over our oceans towards better predicting and coping with their destruction

Recent research reveals significant increases in tropical cyclone frequency in the North Atlantic and North Indian Ocean, while decreases are observed in the western Pacific. The study also shows varying trends in intensity across different ocean basins.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAtmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters·DateMay 11, 2023

Study reveals presence of Hunga Tonga eruption aerosols in northern hemisphere stratospheric westerlies

An international team has detected aerosols from the Hunga Tonga eruption in the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric westerlies, aiding simulation of volcanic plume processes. This discovery provides key insights into physical properties and evolutionary process of volcanic aerosols in the stratosphere.

El Niño–Southern Oscillation correlates well with following-summer cloud-to-ground lightning in China

New research reveals a strong correlation between El Niño-Southern Oscillation and cloud-to-ground lightning in China. The study found that ENSO events, particularly La Niña, lead to enhanced cloud-to-ground lightning activity in North China and Northeast China.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAtmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters·DateApr 28, 2023

2021-like North American heat extremes: Increased impact of heat domes due to background warming and soil moisture feedback

The study found that heat domes over Western North America contributed 50% of the observed high temperatures in 2021-like heatwaves. The intensities of these extreme heat events are projected to increase by 40-fold by the end of the century, emphasizing the need for climate mitigation and adaptation activities.

Ancient forests, seaways, and climate: Lessons from the miocene for today's world

Researchers used a coupled model to simulate ocean circulation and temperature during the MMCO, finding that global average temperature was over 3℃ higher than present. Extensive forest coverage played a significant role in climate regulation, with land temperatures particularly high in the Sahara and high northern latitudes.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalPalaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology·DateMar 30, 2023

Could the background circulation of the record-breaking rainfall in July 2021 in east-central China have been predicted?

Scientists from Chinese Academy of Sciences have revealed the predictable and unpredictable components of the anomalous WPSH in July 2021. The study suggests that positive precipitation anomalies over the tropical western Pacific driven by La Niña contributed to the northward shift, while atmospheric internal intraseasonal oscillations...

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateFeb 28, 2023

Ozone depletion leads to Antarctic upper-stratospheric warming in winter

Recent research reveals that ozone depletion leads to Antarctic upper-stratospheric warming during winter months, with temperatures rising significantly since the 1970s. The study highlights the importance of understanding the coupling between atmospheric chemistry and climate in the southern upper stratosphere.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateFeb 15, 2023

The faster El Niño decays, the fewer typhoons occur the following summer

A recent study found that faster El Niño decays are associated with lower typhoon frequencies in the following summer. Researchers discovered a stronger anticyclonic anomaly over the western North Pacific, driven by tropical Indo-Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies, as a key mechanism behind this phenomenon.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAtmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters·DateFeb 15, 2023

Successive, extreme cold events in the Northern Hemisphere this winter may be linked

Research found that abnormally weak meridional potential vorticity gradients in the Northern Hemisphere atmosphere facilitated the development of stationary blocking weather patterns, leading to extreme cold weather and snowstorm events in East Asia and North America. The team predicts improved forecasting with more accurate PV modeling.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateFeb 9, 2023

Researchers develop a new ocean data quality control system

Researchers from the Institute of Atmospheric Physics have created a new climatological range-based automatic quality control system for ocean temperature profiles. The system, called CODC-QC, uses 14 distinct quality checks to identify outliers and aims to provide a quality-homogenous database.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalDeep Sea Research Part I Oceanographic Research Papers·DateJan 30, 2023

North or south? How the position of sea surface temperature anomalies in the North Pacific can influence the stratospheric polar vortex in the Arctic

A study found that a northward position of North Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies weakens the Arctic stratospheric polar vortex. This weakening can lead to Eurasian cooling and negative surface temperature anomalies.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateJan 24, 2023

Changes in the approximation of snow by climate models over typical vegetation in the Northern Hemisphere

Researchers analyzed relationships between snow cover and depth for three vegetation types in the Northern Hemisphere. Different interactions between land cover and snow processes were found, which climate models struggle to reproduce. This study highlights the need to improve snow parameterization schemes.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAtmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters·DateJan 13, 2023

Uneven wetting under climate change is causing diverse variations in the thawing of frozen ground on the Tibetan Plateau

The Tibetan Plateau's frozen ground is experiencing diverse variations in thawing due to uneven wetting under climate change. The study found that arid regions have become warmer and wetter, while humid regions have become warmer but drier. This has led to a reduction in permafrost area by 28% as substantial wetting in arid areas exert...

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateDec 22, 2022

Indo-Pacific Ocean warming increases the uncertainty in forecasting the onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon

Research reveals that Indo-Pacific Ocean warming has increased uncertainty in forecasting South China Sea summer monsoon onset due to the weakening ENSO signal and frequent cold-tongue La Niña events. This challenges ability to predict the onset of the East Asian summer rainy season at subseasonal scales.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateDec 14, 2022

Scientists reveal controlling factors of water and heat exchanges over the Zoige wetland

Researchers investigated hydrometeorological factors in alpine wetlands during warm and cold seasons. They found that depth of frozen soil averages 20-40 cm, with sensible heat flux greater before solar noon in the cold season. Temperature and longwave radiation are key control factors for heat exchange.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateDec 12, 2022

Kilometer-scale modeling better reflects the relationship between land and precipitation

A recent study found that kilometer-scale modeling better captures precipitation characteristics than quarter-degree resolution models. The researchers attribute this to the ability of kilometer-scale models to more accurately describe sub-grid topography and surface variations, leading to improved precipitation simulation accuracy.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAtmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters·DateDec 3, 2022

Researchers study Eurasia’s winter weather under a “triple-dip” La Niña

A team of researchers studied the upcoming 2022-2023 winter weather in Eurasia, predicting potential below-normal temperatures and severe snowfalls. The study used four climate models to forecast surface air temperature and precipitation anomalies, with some results suggesting a possibility of cold snaps despite warmer overall conditions.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateNov 20, 2022

Negligible climatic impact of the recent methane leak from the Nord Stream pipelines

Researchers estimate that the leaked methane from Nord Stream pipelines would raise atmospheric CO2 concentration by only 0.0026 ppm over 20 years. This tiny warming is imperceptible in ecosystems and human society, but highlights the need to control and reduce methane emissions to achieve global warming targets.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateNov 11, 2022

Long-term memory in temperature series: the “forgetfulness” of state-of-the-art climate models in equatorial and coastal regions

Researchers found significant biases in climate models' simulation of long-term memory in temperature series, especially in equatorial and coastal regions. This may be due to imperfectly simulated coupled processes between oceans and atmosphere, leading to uncertainty in regional climate change predictions.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAtmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters·DateNov 9, 2022

Making extreme precipitation projections more reliable using observational constraint

A joint study by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics and the Met Office reduces projection uncertainty in extreme precipitation by 20-40% in mid-to-high latitudes. The emergent relationship between present-day precipitation variability and climate model projections provides a new constraint for more reliable projections.

Enhanced observations for better forecasting tropical cyclones over the South China sea

The campaign boosted confidence in forecasting similar events with simultaneous satellite, aircraft, and balloon-based observational data. The results showed positive impacts on track and intensity forecasts of TC Mulan, as well as improved rainfall forecasts along the South China coast.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateNov 2, 2022