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Scientists explore the potential for further improvements to tropical cyclone track forecasts

Researchers found that true forecast track error increases exponentially with lead time, implying dynamics of TC motions are linear and model-induced errors in TC position forecasts are minimal. The team's 4-parameter error model indicates potential extension of predictability limit beyond 6/8 days in 10/30 years' time.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalBulletin of the American Meteorological Society·DateSep 13, 2020

Stationary waves and tropical cyclone variability

Researchers found significant correlations between stationary wave strength and tropical cyclone activity, with strong waves modulating TC frequency and altering atmospheric conditions. The study's hemispheric perspective on TC variability offers insights into improving future projections of TC activity in a warming climate.

SourceProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences·JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences·DateAug 31, 2020

Researchers find link between Atlantic hurricanes and weather system in East Asia

A new study by University of Iowa researchers identifies a connection between the East Asian Subtropical Jet Stream and the frequency of tropical storms in the Atlantic Ocean. The study found that stronger EASJ is associated with fewer Atlantic tropical cyclones, suggesting a link between climate systems in Asia and hurricane formation.

SourceUniversity of Iowa·JournalGeophysical Research Letters·DateAug 7, 2020

Scientists find key factors impacting sideswiping tropical cyclone precipitation

Researchers found that extreme rainfall events from STCs can occur over inland areas far from coastlines due to amplification of local terrain and large-scale forcing. The study suggests further investigation into asymmetrical distribution of STP, differences between STP and landfalling precipitation, and comparisons with other datasets.

SourceInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences·JournalAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences·DateJun 15, 2020

Stronger tropical cyclones strengthen the Kuroshio Current, further heating high latitudes

Intensifying tropical cyclones strengthen ocean eddies feeding the Kuroshio Current, accelerating it and transferring more heat energy to mid- and high-latitude ocean waters. This phenomenon highlights a positive feedback loop between TCs and climate warming, potentially impacting future climate predictions.