Articles tagged with Weather Forecasting
Comprehensive exploration of living organisms, biological systems, and life processes across all scales from molecules to ecosystems. Encompasses cutting-edge research in biology, genetics, molecular biology, ecology, biochemistry, microbiology, botany, zoology, evolutionary biology, genomics, and biotechnology. Investigates cellular mechanisms, organism development, genetic inheritance, biodiversity conservation, metabolic processes, protein synthesis, DNA sequencing, CRISPR gene editing, stem cell research, and the fundamental principles governing all forms of life on Earth.
Comprehensive medical research, clinical studies, and healthcare sciences focused on disease prevention, diagnosis, and treatment. Encompasses clinical medicine, public health, pharmacology, epidemiology, medical specialties, disease mechanisms, therapeutic interventions, healthcare innovation, precision medicine, telemedicine, medical devices, drug development, clinical trials, patient care, mental health, nutrition science, health policy, and the application of medical science to improve human health, wellbeing, and quality of life across diverse populations.
Comprehensive investigation of human society, behavior, relationships, and social structures through systematic research and analysis. Encompasses psychology, sociology, anthropology, economics, political science, linguistics, education, demography, communications, and social research methodologies. Examines human cognition, social interactions, cultural phenomena, economic systems, political institutions, language and communication, educational processes, population dynamics, and the complex social, cultural, economic, and political forces shaping human societies, communities, and civilizations throughout history and across the contemporary world.
Fundamental study of the non-living natural world, matter, energy, and physical phenomena governing the universe. Encompasses physics, chemistry, earth sciences, atmospheric sciences, oceanography, materials science, and the investigation of physical laws, chemical reactions, geological processes, climate systems, and planetary dynamics. Explores everything from subatomic particles and quantum mechanics to planetary systems and cosmic phenomena, including energy transformations, molecular interactions, elemental properties, weather patterns, tectonic activity, and the fundamental forces and principles underlying the physical nature of reality.
Practical application of scientific knowledge and engineering principles to solve real-world problems and develop innovative technologies. Encompasses all engineering disciplines, technology development, computer science, artificial intelligence, environmental sciences, agriculture, materials applications, energy systems, and industrial innovation. Bridges theoretical research with tangible solutions for infrastructure, manufacturing, computing, communications, transportation, construction, sustainable development, and emerging technologies that advance human capabilities, improve quality of life, and address societal challenges through scientific innovation and technological progress.
Study of the practice, culture, infrastructure, and social dimensions of science itself. Addresses how science is conducted, organized, communicated, and integrated into society. Encompasses research funding mechanisms, scientific publishing systems, peer review processes, academic ethics, science policy, research institutions, scientific collaboration networks, science education, career development, research programs, scientific methods, science communication, and the sociology of scientific discovery. Examines the human, institutional, and cultural aspects of scientific enterprise, knowledge production, and the translation of research into societal benefit.
Comprehensive study of the universe beyond Earth, encompassing celestial objects, cosmic phenomena, and space exploration. Includes astronomy, astrophysics, planetary science, cosmology, space physics, astrobiology, and space technology. Investigates stars, galaxies, planets, moons, asteroids, comets, black holes, nebulae, exoplanets, dark matter, dark energy, cosmic microwave background, stellar evolution, planetary formation, space weather, solar system dynamics, the search for extraterrestrial life, and humanity's efforts to explore, understand, and unlock the mysteries of the cosmos through observation, theory, and space missions.
Comprehensive examination of tools, techniques, methodologies, and approaches used across scientific disciplines to conduct research, collect data, and analyze results. Encompasses experimental procedures, analytical methods, measurement techniques, instrumentation, imaging technologies, spectroscopic methods, laboratory protocols, observational studies, statistical analysis, computational methods, data visualization, quality control, and methodological innovations. Addresses the practical techniques and theoretical frameworks enabling scientists to investigate phenomena, test hypotheses, gather evidence, ensure reproducibility, and generate reliable knowledge through systematic, rigorous investigation across all areas of scientific inquiry.
Study of abstract structures, patterns, quantities, relationships, and logical reasoning through pure and applied mathematical disciplines. Encompasses algebra, calculus, geometry, topology, number theory, analysis, discrete mathematics, mathematical logic, set theory, probability, statistics, and computational mathematics. Investigates mathematical structures, theorems, proofs, algorithms, functions, equations, and the rigorous logical frameworks underlying quantitative reasoning. Provides the foundational language and tools for all scientific fields, enabling precise description of natural phenomena, modeling of complex systems, and the development of technologies across physics, engineering, computer science, economics, and all quantitative sciences.
NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite captured post-tropical cyclone Edouard transitioning into the western North Atlantic. The system was classified as extratropical due to its merged center of circulation with a frontal boundary.
Tropical cyclones are made of hundreds of thunderstorms, and infrared data can show where the strongest storms are located. NASA research has found that cloud top temperatures as cold as minus 80 degrees Fahrenheit indicate strong storms with potential to generate heavy rainfall.
University of Massachusetts Amherst biostatistician Nicholas Reich has received significant grants from the CDC and NIH to enhance his groundbreaking pandemic forecasting work. The new funding will support the expansion of the COVID-19 Forecast Hub, which provides weekly projections for COVID-19 deaths in the US and by state.
Researchers found a statistically significant difference in storm structure between those producing tornadoes and non-tornadic supercells, which could lead to more accurate warnings. The study suggests using polarimetric radar data to identify the orientation of raindrop shapes, potentially improving tornado warning times.
Tropical Depression Four-E formed on June 29 and is forecast to weaken as it moves northwestward. The depression's maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph with higher gusts.
Tropical Storm Boris formed in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, with NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite providing visible imagery. The storm strengthened to maximum strength before weakening back into a depression over the next 12 hours.
Post-Tropical Cyclone Dolly weakened further as it moved northeastward, losing tropical characteristics. The storm's strongest thunderstorms were displaced to the south of the center, and it is forecast to dissipate by Thursday morning.
NASA monitored Tropical Storm Nuri's landfall in southern China, using Terra satellite images to track its progression. The storm dissipated after making landfall, with maximum sustained winds near 25 knots.
Tropical Depression Nuri formed after passing over Luzon, Philippines and moved into the South China Sea. The storm is forecast to make landfall southwest of Hong Kong, China on June 14 with maximum sustained winds of 30 knots.
Researchers at the University of Reading found that calculating the speed of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) when they hit Earth provides more useful early warnings for satellite operators. This allows them to take evasive action or switch off systems to protect against radiation damage, and warn astronauts of potential threats.
Post-tropical cyclone Cristobal is soaking the Great Lakes, triggering watches and warnings for heavy rain, gusty winds, and tornadoes. Rainfall rates reached 1 inch per hour in some areas, with minor to moderate river flooding expected.
Tropical Depression Cristobal is generating large amounts of rainfall while heading towards the Great Lakes region. Forecasters expect Cristobal to produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 2-4 inches with local amounts up to 6 inches, potentially leading to flash flooding.
Heavy rainfall rates of up to 1 inch per hour were observed north of Tropical Storm Cristobal, leading to large amounts of rain on the ground. The National Hurricane Center predicts storm total rainfall accumulations of 5-10 inches across portions of the Gulf Coast.
NASA's Aqua satellite gathered infrared imagery and cloud top temperature data on Tropical Depression Cristobal, revealing areas of powerful thunderstorms with potential for heavy rainfall. The storm is expected to strengthen later today and regain tropical storm strength in the next 48 hours.
NASA's Terra satellite captured visible images of Nisarga's remnant clouds over central India. The storm weakened from hurricane force to a depression and eventually into a low-pressure area, bringing light to moderate rainfall to the region.
Tropical Storm Cristobal generated large amounts of rainfall over Mexico's Yucatan and Central America. NASA analyzed cloud top temperatures using satellite data to assess the storm's strength.
Tropical Storm Amanda formed on May 31 over the eastern Pacific Ocean, near Guatemala's coast. The storm quickly moved inland and weakened due to mountainous terrain, dissipating by May 31. Its remnants are expected to generate heavy rainfall over Central America and southern Mexico.
Researchers developed an algorithm to analyze ocean conditions and identify regions where objects are likely to converge. The technique uses data-driven ocean modeling and prediction systems to uncover hidden 'traps', providing first responders with a new perspective for search-and-rescue operations.
Tropical Storm Bertha has formed off the coast of South Carolina, with NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite providing critical forecast guidance. The storm is expected to produce life-threatening flash flooding across eastern and central South Carolina, as well as western North Carolina and southwest Virginia.
NASA's Aqua satellite gathers temperature information about Tropical Storm Mangga's cloud tops, revealing powerful thunderstorms with potential to generate heavy rainfall. The strongest storms have coldest cloud top temperatures, indicating strong and potentially destructive weather.
NASA satellites provided critical imagery of Typhoon Amphan as it approached a landfall in northeastern India. The storm's cloud top temperatures indicated strong storms with potential for heavy rainfall.
The NASA-NOAA Suomi NPP satellite captured a visible image of post-tropical storm Arthur on May 19, revealing a weak circulation with clouds northeast and east of the center. The storm is expected to weaken and move southeast through Thursday, affecting waters in the Bahamas.
Tropical Storm Arthur experienced heavy rainfall rates of over 25mm per hour near its northeastern side, with lighter rates throughout the rest of the storm. Forecasters incorporated this data into their forecasts, noting potential impacts on swells and life-threatening surf conditions in the mid-Atlantic and southeast US coasts.
Researchers found significant changes in the Pacific Walker circulation between 54-48 million years ago, with a broadening of ~38°. The circulation's intensity increased as the climate cooled, but its location was controlled by plate movements and CO2 concentrations.
Researchers improve forecasting of strong convective weather using analogy method, which estimates occurrence environment for similar weather phenomena based on historical model forecasts. The method performs well in predicting potential for strong convection in different regions of China.
A low-pressure area, System 90L, is developing in the Straits of Florida, with NASA's Aqua satellite measuring cloud top temperatures indicating stronger storms. The system has a high chance of development into a tropical or subtropical storm by Saturday.
Tropical Storm Vongfong is consolidating and organizing into a tropical cyclone, with higher cloud top temperatures indicating stronger storm conditions. The storm is expected to strengthen over the Philippines archipelago, bringing scattered to heavy rain showers and strong winds.
CU Boulder researchers developed a method to predict ocean acidity up to five years in advance, providing crucial information for fisheries and communities. The new approach leverages historical climate model forecasts to improve prediction accuracy.
Tropical Storm Jeruto was identified by NASA's Suomi NPP satellite on April 15, 2020, with a visible image showing elongated shape due to wind shear. Forecasters predict the storm will likely dissipate within a couple of days as vertical wind shear increases.
Researchers found that UAV sounding data can improve Antarctic weather forecasting, especially for temperature, wind speed, and humidity predictions. The limited flight altitude of UAVs restricts the improvement to the atmospheric boundary layer.
Tropical Cyclone Harold brought heavy rains and hurricane-force winds to Vanuatu, with NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite tracking its movement towards Fiji. Forecasters expect the storm to make a brief landfall over Fiji on April 7, although intensity may remain steady or increase if an eye forms.
A recent study used the MEDSLIK-II model to forecast the spread of an oil spill, predicting its arrival at French beaches 7 days in advance. The collaboration between CMCC Foundation and REMPEC ensured timely exchange of information, producing accurate forecasts that aided coastal preparedness.
Tropical Cyclone Irondro is intensifying in the Southern Indian Ocean, with NASA's Terra satellite capturing its organized storm structure and developing cloud-filled eye. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center forecasts maximum sustained winds near 75 knots by April 4.
NASA's Suomi NPP satellite provides visible image of newly formed Tropical Cyclone Harold near Solomon Islands. The storm threatens Vanuatu, which has issued warnings for damaging gale force winds.
New research suggests that the Arctic may impact Eurasian extreme weather events as quickly as two to three weeks, highlighting the need for more robust analysis techniques. The study aims to improve forecast accuracy by targeting specific observations and developing simulation experiments.
The article discusses recent findings from WAMC workshops and YOPP meetings, focusing on Antarctic observations, numerical modeling, and weather forecasting. Open access to datasets and improved predictive skills are major aspirations for the Polar Prediction Project.
Herold, a former tropical cyclone, has weakened to a low-pressure area with wispy clouds and minimal heavy rainfall. NASA's Aqua satellite provided forecasters with a visible image of the storm's center on March 20.
Tropical Cyclone Herold intensified with a more defined eye in NASA satellite imagery, confirming a sharp intensification trend over the past 12 hours. The eye was visible down to the ocean's surface through clear clouds, revealing powerful bands of thunderstorms.
NASA's Aqua satellite captured a visible image of Tropical Cyclone Herold with a well-developed hurricane and powerful thunderstorms surrounding its eye. The storm is forecast to turn southeast and strengthen to 90 knots before becoming subtropical.
Tropical Storm 22S formed near northeastern Madagascar after being observed by NASA's Terra satellite, which captured strong thunderstorms and rainfall in the western quadrant. The storm is expected to strengthen to 90 knots (104 mph) before becoming subtropical and potentially pass between Mauritius and Rodrigues.
NASA's Terra satellite provided a visible image of Ex-Tropical Cyclone 21S, which is still affecting Western Australia's Pilbara Coast with heavy rainfall and squally winds. The system is expected to bring severe weather events, including damaging wind gusts and flash flooding.
Tropical Storm 21S formed in the Southern Indian Ocean and was tracked by NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite. The storm is expected to make landfall in Western Australia as a tropical storm, with maximum sustained winds near 35 knots (40 mph/65 kph).
A new method using Nonlinear Forcing Singular Vector (NFSV) reduces model error in numerical weather forecasting models. The approach identifies the uncertainty of variable and area most likely to cause large errors, enabling adaptive satellite observations to improve short-term forecasts.
A new study reveals that analyzing large-scale ecological patterns can help predict changes in ecosystems. Ecologists are using decades of weather data to forecast bird migrations and wildlife population fluctuations, which can inform conservation measures. The research aims to improve understanding of the climate-ecology link, enablin...
Ex-tropical cyclone Esther's remnant clouds and storms are being tracked by NASA's Aqua satellite over the Barkly Region of Australia's Northern Territory. The region has experienced widespread rainfall totals of 50 to 150 mm, leading to localized flooding and areas of inundation.
Ex-tropical cyclone Esther has moved over Northern Territory, generating a flood watch and widespread rainfall totals. Satellite imagery provided by NASA-NOAA's Suomi NPP satellite shows the remnants of the storm have blanketed the region.
Cold pools can trap pollutants, reduce wind speeds, and cause freezing rain, posing serious health risks in urban areas. The study aims to improve forecasting of these events to ensure a stable electrical grid and lower energy costs.
Tropical cyclone 18P has organized into a tropical depression near American Samoa, with maximum sustained winds of 30 knots. It is forecast to intensify into a tropical storm by Feb. 22 and then dissipate due to vertical wind shear.
A new international advisory system is working to keep aircraft crew and passengers safe from space weather impacts. The system predicts disruptions from solar activity and helps airlines adjust flight paths to minimize impacts on navigation and communications systems.
A new study verified multi-system forecasts for major stratospheric sudden warmings (MSSWs), showing that all four systems can be judged skilled for five-day forecasts when averaged across available MSSWs. Longer lead times present challenges, with some systems skillful but others not.
NASA's Aqua satellite captured an image of Tropical Cyclone Francisco re-developing a rounded shape with thunderstorms spiraling into its center. The storm is expected to make landfall over Madagascar and weaken as it tracks inland, dissipating on Feb. 15.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Uesi continues to generate moderate rainfall in its southern quadrant, with the heaviest rates found south of the center. The system is expected to bring periods of heavy rain to the west and south of the South Island on Sunday and early Monday.
Researchers at Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz have developed an algorithm that can solve complex problems with remarkable facility on a personal computer. The SPA algorithm enables accurate weather forecasts with a prediction error of only 0.75 degrees Celsius, surpassing the performance of supercomputers.
Heavy rainfall was detected southwest of Tropical Cyclone Uesi's center by NASA's Global Precipitation Measurement mission. Rainfall rates reached up to 1.6 inches per hour in some areas, with scattered light rain falling at slower rates in other regions.
NASA's Terra satellite has detected a strengthening Tropical Cyclone Uesi, affecting New Caledonia with heavy rainfall and gusty winds. The storm is moving southwards, pulling away from Vanuatu but still generating powerful thunderstorms.
A new study reveals that tropical cyclones can create drying effects in the Maritime Continent due to induced zonal wind anomalies. Observational data shows that these events decrease precipitations in the region not directly affected by typhoons, highlighting their role in regional climate patterns.
Wind shear is displacing deep convection about 125 nautical miles to the southeast, causing elongation and weakening the storm. The JTWC expects Francisco will continue moving to the southeast until it dissipates.
Tropical Cyclone Damien has formed off the Pilbara coastline of Western Australia, with NASA's Terra satellite providing visible images. The storm is expected to continue intensifying as it tracks west-southwest, with severe impacts forecast for the Pilbara coast on Saturday.
Tropical Cyclone Francisco formed on Feb 5, 2020, with powerful thunderstorms and shallow banding wrapping into the center. The storm is forecast to intensify slightly before weakening over the next day and a half, moving southeastward.
Rice University engineers developed a deep learning system that uses capsule neural networks to predict extreme weather events, such as heat waves and winter storms, with high accuracy. The system achieves 85% accuracy in five-day forecasts by identifying patterns in pressure systems and regional areas.