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CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change


From research to policy: CMCC research turns EU wildfire assessments into a tool for better governance

The study argues that managing wildfires requires integrated risk governance systems spanning prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery. CMCC researchers identify the need for cooperation and coordination across sectors and governance levels to build resilience to climate-driven wildfire risk in Europe.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalInternational Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction·DateJul 30, 2026

From environmental crisis to climate opportunity: New study shows how Atlantic seaweed could power carbon removal and biofuels

A new study by international researchers suggests that massive Atlantic seaweed blooms could be harnessed for climate solutions such as marine carbon dioxide removal and biofuel production. The vast blooms of Sargassum are not only likely to persist, but may be predictable, with predictive capability reducing uncertainty about the futu...

Climate change is already reshaping health, work, and food security in Europe

Climate change is already reshaping health, work, and food security in Europe, with rising temperatures reducing working hours and economic output. Climate extremes are increasing food insecurity primarily through higher prices and diet quality, according to Shouro Dasgupta, a leading expert on the economic impacts of climate change.

The hidden ocean cost of carbon: why climate damage is nearly twice as high as we thought

Researchers estimate the social cost of carbon to be nearly double what was previously thought, with ocean impacts playing a significant role. The study found that climate damages to coral reefs, fisheries, and global seaports contribute significantly to the total cost.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalNature Climate Change·TypeComputational simulation/modeling·DateJan 15, 2026

Climate change expands wildfire danger worldwide: New study warns of unprecedented risks in the coming decades

A new study warns that climate change will dramatically increase wildfire danger globally, affecting traditionally fire-prone and previously unaffected regions. The projected fire danger in these areas could represent conditions with less than a 1% chance of occurrence during recent historical periods.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalJournal of Climate·TypeComputational simulation/modeling·DateNov 11, 2025

Heatwave predictions months in advance with machine learning: A new study delivers improved accuracy and efficiency

A new study delivers improved accuracy and efficiency in heatwave predictions using machine learning. The system matches and outperforms traditional forecasting systems, providing optimal lead time for preparation measures.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalCommunications Earth & Environment·TypeComputational simulation/modeling·DateNov 4, 2025

Cul-de-sac effect: Why Mediterranean regions are becoming more prone to extreme floods in a changing climate

New research reveals that prolonged accumulation of rain over several days, fueled by mountains blocking moisture from the Adriatic Sea, causes extremely rare floods. The study identifies a 'cul-de-sac' effect, where stationary cyclones channel humid air toward vulnerable regions, increasing flood risk.

AI-powered oil spill prediction system improves accuracy by up to 25%, with significant potential to enhance emergency response.

A new study introduces a hybrid approach that combines traditional physics-based modeling with artificial intelligence to improve oil spill trajectory predictions. The approach achieves significant gains in accuracy, outperforming standard models by up to 20% in matching satellite observations and 25% in tracking oil slick position.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalEcological Informatics·TypeCase study·DateOct 1, 2025

New global database opens the door for better understanding of terrestrial ecosystem productivity

A new study and database provide an unprecedented resource for understanding Earth's land systems, including net primary production (NPP) and its role in carbon cycling. The database addresses methodological limitations of previous databases, offering harmonized NPP measurements across six major biome types and spanning all continents.

Irrecoverable carbon in the mountains: Embracing the opportunity of agroforestry

A new study reveals that even small incremental increases in tree cover on agricultural land in mountain regions can provide significant climate change mitigation benefits within a decade. Agroforestry practices can help conserve irrecoverable carbon, improve biodiversity, and enhance ecosystem services in mountain systems.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalCircular Agricultural Systems·DateFeb 22, 2024

Using public incentives for negative emissions increases economic inequality

A new study finds that public incentives for negative emissions can exacerbate economic inequality, especially in countries with concentrated equity ownership and expensive mitigation options. Researchers propose alternative policy provisions to mitigate the increase in inequality while ensuring decarbonization at reasonable cost.

Warming world, widening gap: climate change’s toll on poverty and inequality in South Africa

A new study reveals that climate change widens the inequality gap in South Africa, particularly for poorer segments of the population. The research highlights the need for climate change policies to address poverty and inequality, as warming is expected to reduce average growth and exacerbate inequalities by the end of the century.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalEnvironmental Research Letters·DateNov 2, 2023

Artificial Intelligence: a step change in climate modelling predictions for climate adaptation

The article discusses how artificial intelligence can enhance climate modeling by generating large ensembles of simulations at moderately high resolutions. This approach capitalizes on advances in computing and AI to learn from data, enabling more accurate predictions and reduced uncertainty. By focusing on resolutions between 10-50 km...

Antarctic ice: a better knowledge of the ocean improves the predictability of sea ice variability

Researchers found that using coupled atmosphere-ocean-sea ice circulation models with observation-based datasets, they can predict Antarctic sea ice variability over decadal time scales. The initialization of subsurface ocean temperature and salinity fields significantly improves prediction skills, especially in the west Antarctic region.

Food: climate change exacerbates the gap between North and South of the Mediterranean

A study by Marta Antonelli and colleagues highlights the pressing challenges in the Mediterranean region, including worsening water scarcity, biodiversity loss, and nutritional imbalances. The gap between North and South countries is expected to grow, with climate change exacerbating environmental pressures and threatening food security.

Climate extremes: The energy required for adaptation calls for stronger mitigation efforts

A new study finds that adapting to climate change will require more energy than previously estimated, leading to higher energy investments and costs. Ambitious mitigation policies can cut the increase in energy system costs induced by adaptation, resulting in net gains.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalNature Communications·TypeComputational simulation/modeling·DateAug 25, 2022

Climate change, labor market and the future of gender inequality: the case of South Africa

A recent study found that climate change will decrease the availability of female low-skilled labor, driving a potential increase in their wages. This could close the wage gap between male and female low-skilled labor as well as the wage gap between low-skilled and high-skilled female labor.

Advanced solutions for agriculture: strategies for the Near East and North Africa facing climate change

The study analyzes the costs and effectiveness of climate change adaptation measures in agriculture, highlighting integration of different techniques as a key factor. Climate smart agriculture and conservation agriculture can provide benefits in terms of both adaptation and mitigation of climate change.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalClimate Policy·TypeSystematic review·DateFeb 10, 2022

Addressing jointly air pollution and climate change to reduce health-economic impacts

A new modelling framework internalizes air pollution's economic impacts on human mortality, considering climate constraints and aerosol feedback. The study finds that optimized air pollution interventions generate considerable health benefits, avoiding 1.62 million premature deaths by mid-century.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalThe Lancet Planetary Health·DateJan 5, 2022

Net zero-emission pathways for reducing the risks for the environment and the economy of climate change

A recent study published in Nature Climate Change explores the benefits of limiting temperature overshoot in mitigation pathways. The research found that avoiding overshoot leads to reduced climate risks, lower economic losses, and lower mitigation costs, ultimately benefiting both the environment and economy.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalNature Climate Change·TypeComputational simulation/modeling·DateNov 29, 2021

Climate and agriculture in the Mediterranean: less water resource, more irrigation demand

A Mediterranean region study predicts increased crop water demands due to worsening climate conditions, affecting staple crops like maize and wheat. The findings highlight the need for precision agriculture and water management strategies to balance economic growth and environmental sustainability.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalAgricultural Water Management·DateNov 16, 2021

Recent technology cost forecasts underestimate the pace of technological change

A systematic analysis of probabilistic cost forecasts from expert-based and model-based methods reveals that current forecasts underestimates the pace of technological change. Model-based approaches outperformed expert elicitations in capturing observed costs, but both underestimated technological progress in most energy technologies.

SourceCMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change·JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences·DateJul 1, 2021