Researchers found that high-impact weather events can be extreme, especially in context of human activities. Detailed hypothermia risk forecasts were not available for the race site, contributing to tragedy. The study highlights the need for improved warning systems and collaborations among scientists, governments, social media, and ci...
Regular physical activity and reduced sedentary behavior are linked to lower risk of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). Studies found that exercising for just two hours a week can lower OSA risk by 54%, while spending less than four hours watching TV daily reduces the risk by 78%. Increasing physical activity in leisure time or reducing se...
A new study by the University of Notre Dame links toxic pollution and climate risks to human health, with a focus on addressing these issues in countries most at risk. The study identifies the top 10 countries that require urgent attention, including Singapore, Rwanda, China, and India.
A Skoltech team developed a model to assess infection risks for supermarket customers. The composite model incorporates social forces and retail space layout, suggesting that social distancing is the primary factor in reducing infection rates. Filling stores to capacity has little economic sense during the pandemic.
A new study warns of devastating impacts from an oil spill in the Canadian Arctic, affecting vulnerable indigenous communities. The risk assessment model predicts socio-economic impacts of up to $7.5 billion over five years.
Researchers created a hybrid neural network called NAIMS that accurately predicts premature baby mortality risk using demographics and vital signs. The technique has shown strong performance in predicting an infant's risk of mortality within 3, 7, or 14 days, with potential to analyze responsiveness to treatment.
The Horizon 2020 projects RISK-HUNT3R and TOX-Free aim to develop animal-free strategies and tools for chemical risk assessment, combining in vitro and computational approaches. The projects will improve the accuracy and efficiency of safety assessments, enabling the development of sustainable alternatives.
Researchers developed machine-learning tools to predict tooth loss based on medical characteristics and socioeconomic factors, outperforming traditional clinical indicators. The approach could be used globally to screen people and improve early interventions, potentially delaying or preventing tooth loss.
Children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) are at high risk for uveitis relapses after discontinuing disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs). The study found that patients are more likely to experience uveitis events within the first 3-24 months after DMARD withdrawal.
A new study suggests that cooperative strategies for providing emergency power during long-duration outages can cost up to 40 times less than individual generators. The analysis focused on two hypothetical communities in New Hampshire and found that shared generator costs were significantly lower, making collective options more accessi...
The nationwide monitoring programme found significant pesticide contamination in over 80% of water bodies, exceeding governmental thresholds. The loss of biodiversity can only be halted if the environmental risk assessment of pesticides is radically revised.
Scientists at Cincinnati Children's are developing an automated risk assessment system using natural language processing and machine learning to analyze student interviews and predict violent outcomes.
Researchers warn that karst aquifers are vulnerable to contamination due to fast infiltration of pollutants during rainfall events. The study highlights the risks of degradable pollutants like glyphosate exceeding safe levels by 19 times.
A survey study in California found that public awareness of extreme risk protection orders is low, and many people are unwilling to use them to prevent firearm-related harm. The study suggests that targeted education and awareness campaigns can improve public understanding and encourage the use of these orders.
Researchers developed an analytical model to predict contaminant spreading in fractured porous media, considering geological and physical parameters. The model can help assess the risks associated with waste disposal facilities and chemical spills, enabling informed decision-making for public health and resource allocation.
The special issue explores various aspects of risk sciences and resilience analytics to guide decision-making and operations related to the COVID-19 pandemic. Papers cover topics such as risk perception, human health and infection risk, and risk management strategies.
A Rensselaer-developed deep learning algorithm can identify patients at risk of cardiovascular disease using low-dose CT scans used for lung cancer screening, potentially expediting diagnoses and accelerating treatments.
A new framework connects climate mitigation scenarios and financial risk assessment, enabling a more accurate understanding of the financial system's impact on the transition. By integrating climate-financial risk assessments into IAMs, investors' expectations can be adjusted to enable or hamper the low-carbon transition.
University of Maryland faculty members Shelby Bensi, Gregg Duncan, Katrina Groth, and Katharina Maisel have received CAREER grants for their innovative research in hazard assessment, gene therapy, risk assessment, and immunotherapy. Their work aims to advance the fields of civil engineering, bioengineering, and mechanical engineering.
A study found that obese people with an evening chronotype, characterized by later waking and peak activity, have a significantly higher risk of developing type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. This increased risk is independent of sleep quality, age, gender, and body mass index.
A new analysis found that third-generation fluoroquinolones are not associated with an increased risk of Achilles tendon rupture, unlike first- and second-generation antibiotics. The study suggests these newer antibiotics may present a reduced risk of tendon ruptures.
Researchers from Peter the Great St.Petersburg Polytechnic University developed a methodology for assessing cyber risks in Smart City infrastructure. The new approach analyzes asset types, threats, and risk values using a quantitative approach, demonstrating superiority over existing methods.
A new series in the Journal of Psychiatric Practice explores therapeutic risk management for violence, using a method called chain analysis. This approach identifies interventional strategies to disrupt the chain of reinforcement that leads to violent ideas and behaviors.
Researchers at Stanford University simulated the risk of fracking-triggered earthquakes on the Eagle Ford shale formation, finding that densely populated areas face the greatest risk of damage. The study aims to provide a shared frame of reference for discussing risks and evaluating tools for managing earthquake hazards.
A new study on the Prisoner Assessment Tool Targeting Estimated Risk and Needs (PATTERN) found that roughly half of the federal prison population is immediately eligible for early-release time credits. Participating in re-entry programs and positive behavior change can increase eligibility for many inmates.
A recent study found that a disproportionate number of new homes built in struggling neighborhoods will end up in high flood-risk areas. Climate change is expected to disproportionately impact these communities, leading to increased inequality and systemic risks such as mortgage defaults and foreclosures.
A new study published in JAMA Network Open explores the link between preeclampsia during pregnancy and increased risk of stroke in later life. The research suggests that women with a history of preeclampsia may be at higher risk for stroke, highlighting the importance of monitoring and managing this condition.
A new framework recognizes that response options can be a driver of risk, requiring a more integrated approach to climate risk assessment. This shift in perspective highlights the importance of considering interactions among multiple drivers of risk and responses.
An analysis of US school shootings between 1990 and 2017 found that following a shooting, the risk of additional incidents in the same and neighboring states increases significantly. The study suggests that media coverage can minimize the risk of provoking further shootings by finding a balance between reporting on these events.
A new analysis of the EAGLES trial data found that varenicline does not increase the risk of psychiatric problems in people without a history. In those with a psychiatric history, it likely did not cause problems but with less certainty.
Research on early treatments for cerebral palsy has generated limited supportive data, but emerging efforts aim to improve developmental motor outcomes in children with the condition. Newer, more targeted interventions are being explored to provide novel insights and transform treatment approaches.
A new web application, SpillOver, evaluates wildlife viruses to estimate their zoonotic spillover and pandemic potential. The tool creates a watchlist of newly-discovered viruses, prioritizing them for further characterization, surveillance, and risk-reducing interventions.
A new study by the USGS found that the risk of COVID-19 transmission to North American bats is low, with a risk of 1 in 1,000 if no protective measures are taken. The risk falls lower with proper use of personal protective equipment or if scientists test negative for COVID-19 before beginning research.
A research team from the University of Tokyo analyzed global flood risk modeling uncertainties, finding large uncertainties mainly associated with runoff data. The study identifies key areas for improvement in hydrological modeling to enhance future predictions of flood risk.
A three-month project led by Professor Rachel Armitage from the University of Huddersfield is investigating the impact of burglar alarms on residential burglary. The study, which combines data analysis and surveys, aims to clarify whether burglar alarms are an effective crime prevention measure.
The Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry Europe hosts its 31st annual meeting, discussing pressing environmental topics such as climate change, microplastics, and biodiversity. The four-day conference will showcase over 1,200 presentations across 72 topics, including keynote addresses from prominent scientists.
Researchers developed a COVID Risk Assessment and Mapping (CRAM) framework to identify city neighborhoods at highest risk of an outbreak. The framework uses GIS technology to create a zoned map with color-coded risk zones, helping officials place targeted restrictions in high-risk communities.
The FDA has granted Breakthrough Device Designation to Tempus' ECG Analysis Platform, which aids clinicians in identifying patients at increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation. The platform uses artificial intelligence to analyze ECG results and provide insight into a patient's risk of future atrial fibrillation events.
A team of international researchers has identified four discrete curvatures as excellent indicators of market instabilities in the stock market networks for the USA S&P500 and Japanese Nikkei-225 indices. The Forman-Ricci curvature (FRE) captures market fear and fragility, revealing sector-driven and global market fluctuations that fac...
Statisticians have calculated the probability of ships becoming beset in ice along the Northern Sea Route, supporting safer maritime transport planning and oil spill prevention. The study's results also benefit authorities regulating maritime traffic by providing a foundation for statutes and legislation.
A Delphi survey conducted by City University reveals that experts prioritize protecting personal privacy online due to risks like cyberbullying and financial loss. The study identifies key areas for further research into online privacy, including social networks and regulation.
A new study suggests that volcano alerts issued during long periods of volcanic unrest can decline housing prices and other economic indicators. The greatest exception was Mount St. Helens, where volcano tourism and proximity to Portland may have mitigated the impact.
A study by the European Society of Cardiology found that vital exhaustion is associated with a higher risk of myocardial infarction in men. Symptoms of vital exhaustion include excessive fatigue, demoralization, and increased irritability, particularly in individuals experiencing prolonged exposure to psychological stressors.
A multiyear workplace health promotion program was shown to prevent health risks among working-age individuals. The study found that participants remained at the same level or improved their rating, while only a small percentage deteriorated.
George Mason University professors support a partnership between U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and the university to gather incident rate data using isolation architecture. The goal is to derive technical efficiency and cost effectiveness of this approach for Federal Civilian Executive Branch.
The NIH has developed a framework for reporting polygenic risk scores, which provide an estimate of an individual's inherited risk for diseases. The new guidelines aim to improve the validity, transparency, and reproducibility of polygenic risk scores in clinical care.
The new USPSTF recommendation doubles the number of eligible adults for lung cancer screening from 6.4 million to 14.5 million. However, experts argue that this expansion may not address racial inequities and highlights the need for individualized risk assessment and genetic risk models.
A new study examines the application of a risk assessment tool in child welfare decision-making and finds drastically different approaches between two states. The 'Goldilocks problem' highlights the challenges of standardizing a complex process, where too much rigidity can lead to inaccurate outcomes.
A recent study published in Circulation shows that combining genetic risk with LDL cholesterol levels can accurately predict heart attack risk. The study reveals that individuals with a high polygenic predisposition for heart attack, regardless of their LDL level, are at increased risk.
A new study published in Diabetologia found that regular physical activity significantly reduces the risk of type 2 diabetes for people living in polluted regions. The research, conducted in Taiwan, investigated the combined effects of physical activity and air pollution on type 2 diabetes risk.
PFAS substances are ubiquitous in the environment, found in soil, water, and wildlife. Research highlights the need for effective management strategies to mitigate potential toxicity to humans and wildlife, with data gaps identified for devising an approach.
A new study suggests that grandfathered rates in the National Flood Insurance Program could lead to losses for the NFIP as flood risk grows due to rising sea levels. Experts recommend replacing grandfathering with a gradual phase-in of risk-based insurance prices and providing means-tested assistance to lower-income households.
The global polio eradication initiative is facing setbacks due to ongoing outbreaks in Afghanistan and Pakistan, despite significant progress made since 2015. The recent special issue of Risk Analysis evaluates the GPEI strategies and finds that the initiative was off track even before the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted immunization activ...
Businesses are increasingly required to assess their vulnerability to climate change, but complex climate models pose a challenge for risk assessment and decision-making. A paradigm shift is needed to elevate climate modeling to operational weather forecasting level, providing tangible value to businesses.
New research documents how stringent FGM safeguarding measures are leaving families feeling racially profiled, criminalised and stigmatised. The study proposes a series of national recommendations to address FGM in a more compassionate and inclusive way.
A new study published in Risk Analysis found that fear-based Virtual Reality films depicting violent collisions lead to increased risk-taking among young drivers. In contrast, positively framed VR films result in the greatest reduction in risky driving behavior. This suggests that a positive approach may be more effective in promoting ...
A new study found that people are more likely to assign blame and responsibility to a vehicle's automated system and its manufacturer rather than the human driver when a crash occurs. Researchers call this bias 'blame attribution asymmetry,' which may affect other cooperative situations involving humans and machines.
A leading academic expert, Dr Simon Harwood, is calling for a radical overhaul of the UK's approach to national security. He suggests creating a comprehensive resilience framework that not only identifies risks but also outlines steps to mitigate them.
Researchers propose a Food Safety Monitoring System that uses text mining to analyze consumer comments on websites, flagging products associated with food-related illnesses. The system was tested on Amazon reviews and IWasPoisoned.com data, identifying specific brands of protein bars and herbal teas as high-risk products.
Patients undergoing aortic surgery are at high risk of developing intraoperative pressure injuries due to increased incidence compared to other cardiac surgeries. Nurses should thoroughly assess risk and implement preventative interventions for high-risk patients.